La escuela de los momios

Minnesota Twins v Kansas City Royals

Inicio: 2026-06-06 18:13 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 2–3 Kansas City Royals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Predicción 56.45%1.77momio equitativo
EV -1.21%
Ventaja -0.690%
Kelly -1.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.67%56.33%56.43%57.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.641.691.691.7560.98%59.13%59.17%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Predicción 43.55%2.30momio equitativo
EV -0.277%
Ventaja -0.121%
Kelly -0.215%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.60%43.67%43.57%45.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.192.202.2948.78%45.58%45.45%43.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.21%E -0.690%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -6.81%E -3.18%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-06 18:10
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.15%E -0.506%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-06 18:08
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.90%E -1.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.712%E -0.312%K -0.556%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-06 17:57
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -2.90%E -1.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -1.15%E -0.506%K -0.904%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-06 18:09
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.90%E -1.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.58%E -0.701%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-06 18:10
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.90%E -1.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.89%E -1.30%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-06 18:10
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -0.277%E -0.121%K -0.215%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-06 18:09
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -0.712%E -0.312%K -0.556%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-06 18:10
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -0.712%E -0.312%K -0.556%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-06 18:09
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.15%E -0.506%K -0.904%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-06 18:09
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-06 18:09
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-06 18:09
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-06 18:10
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.33%E -1.50%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-06 18:08
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 18:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 18:09
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 18:09
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 18:09
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 18:10
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.07%E -2.32%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 18:09
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.07%E -2.32%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 18:10
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.07%E -2.32%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 18:10
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.07%E -2.32%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 18:09
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.07%E -2.32%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 18:10
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.07%E -2.32%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 18:10
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.07%E -2.32%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 18:10
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 18:09
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.73%E -5.23%K -10.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 18:09
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.59%E -2.72%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.33%E -1.50%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-06 18:06
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.59%E -2.72%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.33%E -1.50%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-06 18:09
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.59%E -2.72%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-06 18:09
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.59%E -2.72%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-06 18:09
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.59%E -2.72%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-06 18:09
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.59%E -2.72%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 18:10
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.59%E -2.72%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.07%E -2.32%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 18:10
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.59%E -2.72%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.94%E -2.75%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-06 18:09
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.59%E -2.72%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.94%E -2.75%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-06 18:09
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.16%E -3.07%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 18:09
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.16%E -3.07%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.16%E -3.07%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 18:09
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.16%E -3.07%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 18:09
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.16%E -3.07%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 18:09
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.16%E -3.07%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 18:09
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.16%E -3.07%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.50%E -2.54%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 18:10
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.16%E -3.07%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.50%E -2.54%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 18:10
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.16%E -3.07%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.50%E -2.54%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 18:10
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.16%E -3.07%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.50%E -2.54%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 18:09
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.16%E -3.07%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-06 18:09
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.72%E -3.43%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.02%E -0.897%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 18:09
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.72%E -3.43%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 18:09
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.72%E -3.43%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 18:10
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.72%E -3.43%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 18:10
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.72%E -3.43%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 18:09
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.72%E -3.43%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 18:09
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.72%E -3.43%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 18:09
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.72%E -3.43%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 18:09
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.72%E -3.43%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 18:09
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.72%E -3.43%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 18:09
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.72%E -3.43%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 18:09
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.29%E -3.79%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-06 18:09
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.85%E -4.15%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-06 18:09
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -7.42%E -4.52%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -7.68%E -3.62%K -6.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-06 18:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14%-0.1%2026-06-06 18:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-06-06 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-06-06 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-06-06 18:10
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-06 18:10
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-06 18:10
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-06 18:10
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-06-06 18:10
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-06-06 18:10
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%3.4%2026-06-06 18:10