Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins v Kansas City Royals

Inicio: 2026-06-07 18:11 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 5–6 Kansas City Royals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Predicción 48.15%2.08momio equitativo
EV -1.30%
Ventaja -0.634%
Kelly -1.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.37%48.20%48.08%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.901.992.002.0552.63%50.29%50.00%48.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Predicción 51.85%1.93momio equitativo
EV -0.961%
Ventaja -0.503%
Kelly -1.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%51.80%51.92%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.801.841.831.9155.56%54.34%54.64%52.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Minnesota Twins (Local): 48.15%; Kansas City Royals (Visitante): 51.85%. Para Kansas City Royals (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.93. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.91, con un valor esperado de -0.961%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -1.30%E -0.634%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -2.52%E -1.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-07 17:59
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.30%E -0.634%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.03%E -1.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-07 17:59
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.30%E -0.634%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.03%E -1.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-07 17:59
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.30%E -0.634%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.03%E -1.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-07 18:08
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -1.78%E -0.873%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -2.00%E -1.06%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-07 18:03
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -1.78%E -0.873%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -4.07%E -2.20%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-07 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.26%E -1.11%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.52%E -1.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-07 17:59
GTbets🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.26%E -1.11%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.52%E -1.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-07 18:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.26%E -1.11%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.52%E -1.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-07 17:59
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.74%E -1.36%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 16:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.74%E -1.36%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 17:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.74%E -1.36%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 17:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -3.22%E -1.60%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -4.59%E -2.49%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 16:18
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.03%E -1.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-07 18:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.07%E -2.20%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 18:09
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.07%E -2.20%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 18:09
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.07%E -2.20%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 16:29
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 16:18
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 16:18
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 17:49
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 17:59
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 17:59
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 17:39
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 17:39
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 17:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 17:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 16:20
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 16:49
Dabble (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.63%E -3.09%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-07 17:39
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.63%E -3.09%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-07 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.63%E -3.09%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-07 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.63%E -3.09%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-07 17:50
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.63%E -3.09%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-07 17:59
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.15%E -3.40%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-07 16:19
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-07 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-07 16:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-07 16:29
DraftKings🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-07 18:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -4.67%E -2.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -3.03%E -1.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-07 18:09
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.67%E -2.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.07%E -2.20%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 18:10
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.67%E -2.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.07%E -2.20%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.67%E -2.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.07%E -2.20%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 18:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.67%E -2.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 17:59
Bet Right🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.15%E -2.61%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.07%E -2.20%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-07 16:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.15%E -2.61%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.59%E -2.49%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 16:29
NordicBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.15%E -2.61%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.59%E -2.49%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 18:09
Betsson🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.15%E -2.61%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.59%E -2.49%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 18:09
Coolbet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.63%E -2.87%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.07%E -2.20%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 16:19
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -5.63%E -2.87%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-07 17:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.11%E -3.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.03%E -1.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-07 16:09
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.11%E -3.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.07%E -2.20%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 18:09
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.11%E -3.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-07 18:10
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.11%E -3.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-07 18:09
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.11%E -3.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-07 16:19
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.11%E -3.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-07 18:08
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -6.60%E -3.40%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -4.59%E -2.49%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-07 18:08
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -6.60%E -3.40%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -4.59%E -2.49%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-07 18:09
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.08%E -3.67%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.52%E -1.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-07 18:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -7.56%E -3.94%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -5.63%E -3.09%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-07 18:09
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.04%E -4.21%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.961%E -0.503%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 22:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -8.52%E -4.48%K -9.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -3.03%E -1.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-07 18:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.52%E -4.48%K -9.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-07 18:08
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37%-0.0%2026-06-07 18:09
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37%-0.0%2026-06-07 18:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%0.2%2026-06-07 18:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%0.2%2026-06-07 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%0.2%2026-06-07 18:10
ProphetX2.09I 47.85%NM 47.75%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.25%0.2%2026-06-07 17:50
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-06-07 16:00
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%1.5%2026-06-07 18:10
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-06-07 18:09
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-06-07 17:59