Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins v Kansas City Royals

Início: 2026-06-04 23:41 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 6–8 Kansas City Royals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Previsão 48.67%2.05odd justa
EV -1.19%
Vantagem -0.587%
Kelly -1.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.03

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.66%48.68%48.59%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.901.961.952.0352.63%51.12%51.28%49.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Previsão 51.33%1.95odd justa
EV -1.97%
Vantagem -1.03%
Kelly -2.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%51.32%51.41%52.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.861.871.9155.56%53.63%53.48%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Minnesota Twins (Local): 48.67%; Kansas City Royals (Visitante): 51.33%. Para Minnesota Twins (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.05. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.03, com valor esperado de -1.19%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Everygame🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -1.19%E -0.587%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -2.99%E -1.58%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-04 15:49
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -1.19%E -0.587%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -2.99%E -1.58%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-04 23:39
BetAnything🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.19%E -0.587%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.51%E -1.87%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-04 22:49
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -1.68%E -0.831%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -2.48%E -1.31%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-04 23:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.16%E -1.08%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.48%E -1.31%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-04 23:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.16%E -1.08%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.48%E -1.31%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-04 23:29
GTbets🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.16%E -1.08%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.48%E -1.31%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-04 23:19
BetUS🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.16%E -1.08%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.48%E -1.31%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-04 23:29
Bovada🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -2.16%E -1.08%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -6.07%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-04 23:09
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.65%E -1.33%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.02%E -2.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-04 22:39
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.65%E -1.33%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.07%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-04 23:40
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.65%E -1.33%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.07%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-04 23:29
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.65%E -1.33%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.07%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-04 02:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.65%E -1.33%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.07%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-04 20:09
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.62%E -1.83%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.53%E -2.44%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-04 10:40
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.62%E -1.83%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-04 22:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.62%E -1.83%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-04 23:38
MyBookie.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.11%E -2.09%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.51%E -1.87%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-04 22:49
SportsBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.11%E -2.09%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.56%E -3.02%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 11:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -4.60%E -2.35%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -1.97%E -1.03%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-04 23:29
Bet Right🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.60%E -2.35%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.53%E -2.44%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-04 21:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.60%E -2.35%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 21:10
Coolbet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.60%E -2.35%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.60%E -2.35%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.56%E -3.02%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-04 23:19
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.48%E -1.31%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-04 18:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.02%E -2.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-04 02:20
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.02%E -2.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-04 22:20
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.02%E -2.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-04 20:09
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.02%E -2.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-04 21:14
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 22:20
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 20:09
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 20:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.07%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-04 23:29
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.07%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-04 23:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.57%E -2.87%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.51%E -1.87%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 23:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.57%E -2.87%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.51%E -1.87%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 23:29
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.57%E -2.87%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.02%E -2.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 22:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.57%E -2.87%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.02%E -2.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 22:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.57%E -2.87%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.44%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 23:40
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.06%E -3.14%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.51%E -1.87%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 23:29
LeoVegas🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.06%E -3.14%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.51%E -1.87%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 23:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.06%E -3.14%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.51%E -1.87%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 23:29
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.06%E -3.14%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.51%E -1.87%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 23:29
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.06%E -3.14%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.51%E -1.87%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 23:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.06%E -3.14%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.51%E -1.87%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 23:29
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.06%E -3.14%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.51%E -1.87%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 23:29
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.06%E -3.14%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.51%E -1.87%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 23:30
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.06%E -3.14%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.02%E -2.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 23:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.06%E -3.14%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.02%E -2.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 23:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.06%E -3.14%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.02%E -2.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 23:29
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.06%E -3.14%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.02%E -2.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.55%E -3.41%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.56%E -3.02%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-04 23:40
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.03%E -3.68%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.97%E -1.03%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 21:39
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.03%E -3.68%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-04 21:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.03%E -3.68%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-04 21:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.03%E -3.68%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-04 21:09
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.03%E -3.68%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.07%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-04 21:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.03%E -3.68%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.61%E -4.23%K -9.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-04 23:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.52%E -3.96%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.02%E -2.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-04 23:29
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.52%E -3.96%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-04 23:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-06-04 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-06-04 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-06-04 23:40
ProphetX2.05I 48.78%NM 48.49%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%0.6%2026-06-04 23:30
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-06-04 15:50
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-06-04 21:30
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-06-04 23:40
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-06-04 23:40
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-06-04 23:40
BetOpenly2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%2.9%2026-06-04 23:39