Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins v Detroit Tigers

Início: 2026-09-02 23:41 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 6–11 Detroit Tigers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Previsão 51.99%1.92odd justa
EV +1.91%
Vantagem +0.974%
Kelly +1.99%
Crescimento +0.038%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%51.89%52.10%53.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.841.831.9657.14%54.41%54.64%51.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Previsão 48.01%2.08odd justa
EV -0.149%
Vantagem -0.072%
Kelly -0.138%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.05%48.11%47.90%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.901.981.982.0852.63%50.40%50.51%48.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Minnesota Twins (Local): 51.99%; Detroit Tigers (Visitante): 48.01%. Para Minnesota Twins (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.92. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.96, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.91%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV +1.91%E +0.974%K +1.99%G +0.038%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -5.91%E -3.02%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-02 23:10
Caesars🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -1.21%E -0.637%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 21:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.21%E -0.637%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.79%E -4.63%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 23:10
Everygame🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.73%E -0.915%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.55%E -1.26%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-02 21:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -2.25%E -1.20%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -5.43%E -2.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-02 23:40
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.77%E -1.48%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.59%E -0.775%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-02 23:30
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.77%E -1.48%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.59%E -0.775%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-02 23:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.77%E -1.48%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-02 23:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.77%E -1.48%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-02 23:30
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.77%E -1.48%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.03%E -1.50%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-02 23:14
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.77%E -1.48%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.31%E -4.35%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 23:39
BetAnything🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -3.29%E -1.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -2.55%E -1.26%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-02 23:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.29%E -1.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.87%E -3.54%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 23:40
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -0.149%E -0.072%K -0.138%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-02 23:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 23:33
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 23:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.43%E -2.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.43%E -2.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.43%E -2.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.43%E -2.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.43%E -2.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:54
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.43%E -2.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.43%E -2.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.43%E -2.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.43%E -2.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.43%E -2.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.79%E -4.63%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 23:29
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.79%E -4.63%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 23:28
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.33%E -2.35%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.95%E -2.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 23:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -4.33%E -2.35%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -7.83%E -4.08%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 23:40
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.03%E -1.50%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 23:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 23:30
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 23:33
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 23:30
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 23:30
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 23:35
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 23:35
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 23:33
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 23:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.95%E -2.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 23:35
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.95%E -2.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.95%E -2.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 23:30
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.95%E -2.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 21:44
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.95%E -2.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 21:45
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.91%E -3.02%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 22:55
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.39%E -3.28%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 23:40
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 23:35
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 23:35
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -2.55%E -1.26%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 23:35
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 23:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.43%E -2.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 23:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.39%E -3.28%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 22:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.39%E -3.28%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 22:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.03%E -1.50%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 20:35
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 23:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 23:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 23:35
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 21:15
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.39%E -3.28%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 23:35
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.39%E -3.28%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 23:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.45%E -4.19%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.35%E -3.81%K -7.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 23:34
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.76%EV -7.45%E -4.19%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.24%EV -8.31%E -4.35%K -9.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 22:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.59%E -0.775%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 23:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-09-02 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-09-02 23:40
ProphetX◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-09-02 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-09-02 23:40
Polymarket◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-09-02 23:15
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-09-02 23:20
Novig◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-09-02 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-09-02 23:40
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-09-02 23:40
Smarkets◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%2.0%2026-09-02 23:35