Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins v Detroit Tigers

Inicio: 2026-04-07 23:41 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Predicción 39.85%2.51momio equitativo
EV -0.385%
Ventaja -0.154%
Kelly -0.257%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.12%39.84%39.85%40.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.382.402.5043.48%41.93%41.75%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Predicción 60.15%1.66momio equitativo
EV -1.35%
Ventaja -0.822%
Kelly -2.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.14%60.16%60.15%61.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.531.591.591.6465.36%62.79%62.89%60.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Minnesota Twins (Local): 39.85%; Detroit Tigers (Visitante): 60.15%. Para Minnesota Twins (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.51. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.50, con un valor esperado de -0.385%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -0.385%E -0.154%K -0.257%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 06:04
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -0.385%E -0.154%K -0.257%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.36%E -4.78%K -13.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 21:04
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -1.58%E -0.640%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -2.55%E -1.57%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-07 23:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.38%E -0.970%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.55%E -1.57%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-07 20:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.38%E -0.970%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.55%E -1.57%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-07 20:49
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.38%E -0.970%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.55%E -1.57%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-07 20:49
ReBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.38%E -0.970%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.36%E -2.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 17:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.38%E -0.970%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 16:39
BetUS🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -2.78%E -1.14%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -2.55%E -1.57%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-07 21:03
FanDuel🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -2.78%E -1.14%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -4.96%E -3.14%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 18:30
1xBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -3.17%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.35%E -0.822%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-07 22:34
MyBookie.ag🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.17%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.36%E -2.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-07 12:15
SportsBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.57%E -1.48%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 11:45
DraftKings🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -3.97%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -4.96%E -3.14%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 19:13
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.15%E -1.96%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-07 20:50
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.75%E -2.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 06:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.75%E -2.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 06:20
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.75%E -2.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 22:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.36%E -2.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 18:35
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.36%E -2.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 21:35
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.36%E -2.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 06:20
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.96%E -3.14%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 21:00
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.96%E -3.14%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 06:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.96%E -3.14%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 06:20
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.96%E -3.14%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 21:00
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 20:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 20:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 20:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.76%E -4.36%K -12.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 05:30
Bovada🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -4.77%E -2.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.15%E -1.96%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-07 23:38
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -5.17%E -2.17%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -1.35%E -0.822%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-07 23:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.17%E -2.17%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.75%E -2.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 23:39
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.17%E -2.17%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-07 02:10
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.17%E -2.17%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.96%E -5.21%K -15.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 21:15
NordicBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.35%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.96%E -3.14%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 22:10
Betsson🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.35%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.96%E -3.14%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 22:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.96%E -2.53%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.36%E -2.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 22:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.55%E -1.57%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 23:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.55%E -1.57%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 23:40
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.75%E -2.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 20:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.36%E -2.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 21:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.96%E -3.14%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 23:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 23:30
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 23:38
Dabble (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 23:40
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.16%E -3.07%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.15%E -1.96%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 23:40
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.16%E -3.07%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.15%E -1.96%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 23:40
LeoVegas🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.16%E -3.07%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.15%E -1.96%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 23:40
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.16%E -3.07%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.15%E -1.96%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 23:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.16%E -3.07%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.15%E -1.96%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 23:40
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.16%E -3.07%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.15%E -1.96%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 23:40
Bally Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.16%E -3.07%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.15%E -1.96%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.16%E -3.07%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.15%E -1.96%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -7.56%E -3.26%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -3.75%E -2.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 23:40
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -7.56%E -3.26%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -3.75%E -2.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 23:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -7.56%E -3.26%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -3.75%E -2.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 23:40
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -7.56%E -3.26%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -3.75%E -2.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.35%E -3.63%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.96%E -3.14%K -8.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 23:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.52I 39.68%NM 39.71%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.29%-0.1%2026-04-07 23:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%0.3%2026-04-07 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%0.3%2026-04-07 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%0.3%2026-04-07 23:40
ProphetX2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-04-07 23:30
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-04-07 21:00
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-04-07 21:05
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%1.3%2026-04-07 23:40
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%1.6%2026-04-07 23:40
Novig2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%2.2%2026-04-07 23:40