Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins v Cleveland Guardians

Início: 2026-09-12 20:11 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Previsão 50.11%2.00odd justa
EV -2.29%
Vantagem -1.17%
Kelly -2.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.94%50.16%50.00%50.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.821.901.901.9554.95%52.65%52.63%51.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Previsão 49.89%2.00odd justa
EV -1.71%
Vantagem -0.869%
Kelly -1.77%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.09%49.84%50.00%51.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.851.921.911.9754.05%52.22%52.36%50.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Minnesota Twins (Local): 50.11%; Cleveland Guardians (Visitante): 49.89%. Para Cleveland Guardians (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.00. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.97, com valor esperado de -1.71%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.29%E -1.17%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.71%E -0.869%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.29%E -1.17%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.71%E -0.869%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-12 19:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.29%E -1.17%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-12 19:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.29%E -1.17%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-12 19:55
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.29%E -1.17%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-12 19:55
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.29%E -1.17%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-12 19:55
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.29%E -1.17%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-12 19:55
Everygame🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.79%E -1.44%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.21%E -1.13%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-12 14:20
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.29%E -1.71%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.71%E -1.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.29%E -1.71%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.70%E -4.16%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 17:05
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.79%E -1.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 14:18
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.29%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-12 14:20
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%EV -4.29%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -4.21%E -2.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.29%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.29%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 17:04
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.29%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.29%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:19
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.29%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.29%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:20
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.29%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:20
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.29%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.29%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.29%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.29%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:20
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.29%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.29%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.29%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.29%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.29%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.70%E -3.58%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 19:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.80%E -2.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.80%E -2.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.21%E -2.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 20:00
Bovada🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.80%E -2.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.21%E -2.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 19:29
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.80%E -2.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.71%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:20
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 20:05
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 20:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 19:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.30%E -2.80%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.71%E -1.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 19:10
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.30%E -2.80%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.71%E -1.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 19:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.30%E -2.80%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.71%E -1.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 19:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.30%E -2.80%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.71%E -1.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 19:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.30%E -2.80%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.71%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.80%E -3.08%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 20:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.80%E -3.08%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.71%E -1.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 18:30
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.80%E -3.08%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.71%E -1.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 18:30
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.80%E -3.08%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.71%E -1.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 20:00
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.80%E -3.08%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.71%E -1.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 18:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.80%E -3.08%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.71%E -1.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 18:30
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.80%E -3.08%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.71%E -1.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 18:30
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.80%E -3.08%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.21%E -2.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 19:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.80%E -3.08%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 20:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.80%E -3.08%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.71%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 20:10
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.71%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.70%E -3.58%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.80%E -3.66%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 19:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.80%E -3.66%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 19:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -6.80%E -3.66%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -6.20%E -3.30%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 19:55
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 19:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.80%E -4.24%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.20%E -3.87%K -8.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 19:45
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -8.80%E -4.84%K -10.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -7.70%E -4.16%K -9.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 18:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%0.0%2026-09-12 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%0.8%2026-09-12 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%0.8%2026-09-12 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.0%2026-09-12 20:10
ProphetX1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.0%2026-09-12 20:05
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-12 20:05
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-12 20:10
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13%1.3%2026-09-12 20:10
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.5%2026-09-12 20:10
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.13%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.87%2.8%2026-09-12 20:10