Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins v Chicago White Sox

Inicio: 2026-06-01 23:41 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 9–6 Chicago White Sox

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Predicción 56.31%1.78momio equitativo
EV -1.46%
Ventaja -0.834%
Kelly -1.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.23%56.34%56.28%57.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.651.691.691.7560.61%59.11%59.17%57.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 43.69%2.29momio equitativo
EV -0.385%
Ventaja -0.169%
Kelly -0.301%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.60%43.66%43.72%45.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.202.202.2848.78%45.43%45.45%43.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Minnesota Twins (Local): 56.31%; Chicago White Sox (Visitante): 43.69%. Para Chicago White Sox (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.29. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.28, con un valor esperado de -0.385%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -1.46%E -0.834%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -5.63%E -2.61%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-01 23:40
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.26%E -0.557%K -0.999%G +0.000%1.7%2026-06-01 23:39
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.70%E -0.754%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-01 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.57%E -1.15%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-01 23:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.57%E -1.15%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-01 23:40
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.57%E -1.15%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-01 23:40
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.57%E -1.15%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-01 21:09
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -2.58%E -1.49%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -6.94%E -3.26%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 23:40
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -2.58%E -1.49%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -10.43%E -5.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-01 23:40
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.15%E -1.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.385%E -0.169%K -0.301%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-01 22:30
Everygame🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.15%E -1.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.385%E -0.169%K -0.301%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-01 21:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.88%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 21:50
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.88%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 20:30
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.88%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 22:00
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.75%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-01 20:40
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.19%E -2.39%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-01 23:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -0.385%E -0.169%K -0.301%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-01 22:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.44%E -1.56%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 20:40
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.88%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-01 20:28
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.88%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-01 20:30
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.88%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-01 20:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.06%E -2.82%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 23:40
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.06%E -2.82%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 22:50
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.06%E -2.82%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.06%E -2.82%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 23:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.84%E -2.86%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.70%E -0.754%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-01 20:30
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.84%E -2.86%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.88%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-01 20:29
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.84%E -2.86%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.32%E -1.97%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 20:20
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.84%E -2.86%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.75%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-01 23:39
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.84%E -2.86%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.63%E -2.61%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-01 23:39
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.84%E -2.86%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.63%E -2.61%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-01 23:39
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.84%E -2.86%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.06%E -2.82%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-01 23:39
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.88%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-01 20:40
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.88%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-01 20:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.88%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-01 22:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-01 23:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.70%E -0.754%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-01 22:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.70%E -0.754%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-01 22:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.70%E -0.754%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-01 22:00
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.57%E -1.15%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 21:59
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.57%E -1.15%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 22:00
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.57%E -1.15%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.57%E -1.15%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 22:00
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.57%E -1.15%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.57%E -1.15%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 22:00
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.57%E -1.15%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 22:00
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.57%E -1.15%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 22:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -3.44%E -1.56%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 22:19
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.88%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 20:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.88%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 20:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.88%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 20:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.88%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 20:29
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.88%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 20:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.06%E -2.82%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-01 23:30
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.06%E -2.82%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-01 20:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.53%E -3.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.57%E -1.15%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 21:59
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.53%E -3.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.57%E -1.15%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 21:59
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.53%E -3.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.57%E -1.15%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 21:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.53%E -3.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.57%E -1.15%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 22:00
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.09%E -4.30%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-01 23:36
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-06-01 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-06-01 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-06-01 23:40
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-01 23:40
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-01 23:40
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-06-01 23:40
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-06-01 23:40
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%2.1%2026-06-01 23:30
BetOpenly1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%5.7%2026-06-01 23:30