默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Minnesota Twins v Baltimore Orioles

开赛时间: 2026-08-10 23:42 UTC

最终结果: Minnesota Twins 9–5 Baltimore Orioles

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

62 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Minnesota Twins (主队)

预测 50.07%2.00公平赔率
EV -0.871%
优势 -0.440%
Kelly -0.888%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.98

博彩公司预测分布
48.41%50.08%50.00%51.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.851.911.911.9854.05%52.22%52.36%50.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

Baltimore Orioles (客队)

预测 49.93%2.00公平赔率
EV -0.630%
优势 -0.317%
Kelly -0.636%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.99

博彩公司预测分布
48.68%49.92%50.00%51.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.791.901.911.9955.87%52.53%52.36%50.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Minnesota Twins (主队):50.07%;Baltimore Orioles (客队):49.93%。 对于“Baltimore Orioles (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.00。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为1.99,期望值为-0.630%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (62 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Caesars🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -0.871%E -0.440%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 22:48
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.87%E -0.955%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.13%E -1.09%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-10 23:20
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.87%E -0.955%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.13%E -1.09%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-10 23:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -1.87%E -0.955%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -6.62%E -3.54%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-10 23:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -1.87%E -0.955%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -6.62%E -3.54%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-10 23:14
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -1.87%E -0.955%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -6.62%E -3.54%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-10 23:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -1.87%E -0.955%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -6.62%E -3.54%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-10 23:14
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.63%E -0.827%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-10 23:15
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-10 23:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-10 19:10
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.62%E -4.12%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.62%E -4.12%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 23:15
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.62%E -4.12%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 23:15
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.62%E -4.12%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 23:15
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.62%E -4.12%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 23:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.62%E -4.12%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 23:14
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.62%E -4.71%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 22:30
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.87%E -1.48%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.13%E -0.570%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-10 23:30
BetAnything🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.87%E -1.48%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.13%E -1.09%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-10 22:59
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -2.87%E -1.48%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -7.62%E -4.12%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 23:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.37%E -1.75%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-10 23:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -3.37%E -1.75%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -8.62%E -4.71%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 23:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -3.37%E -1.75%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -8.62%E -4.71%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 23:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -3.87%E -2.02%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -0.630%E -0.317%K -0.636%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -3.87%E -2.02%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -0.630%E -0.317%K -0.636%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 22:59
GTbets🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -3.87%E -2.02%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -0.630%E -0.317%K -0.636%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -2.02%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-10 21:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.87%E -2.02%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.12%E -2.70%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 23:24
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 21:24
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 19:30
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 22:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 19:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 19:30
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 23:34
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 19:20
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 22:49
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 21:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 19:09
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 23:24
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.12%E -2.70%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-10 21:25
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-10 23:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.70%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 21:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.70%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 22:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.70%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 19:10
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -5.62%E -2.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 23:19
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.62%E -4.12%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-10 23:33
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.62%E -4.12%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-10 23:30
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.88%E -3.13%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 23:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.88%E -3.13%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 23:35
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.88%E -3.13%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 23:35
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.88%E -3.13%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 23:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.88%E -3.13%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.62%E -2.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 23:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.88%E -3.13%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.12%E -3.26%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-10 21:24
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.77%EV -5.88%E -3.13%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.23%EV -10.62%E -5.93%K -13.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-10 23:14
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 22:59
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.13%E -1.61%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-10 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.13%E -1.61%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-10 22:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.12%E -2.70%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 23:04
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.62%E -3.54%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-10 21:15
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 22:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.62%E -4.12%K -8.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-10 23:13
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-08-10 23:35
Matchbook◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-08-10 23:35
ProphetX◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-08-10 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-08-10 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-08-10 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.0%2026-08-10 23:25
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-10 19:15
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-08-10 21:00
Smarkets◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%2.0%2026-08-10 23:35
BetOpenly◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.4%2026-08-10 23:35