Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins v Atlanta Braves

Início: 2026-08-19 17:41 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 6–4 Atlanta Braves

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Previsão 49.13%2.04odd justa
EV -0.756%
Vantagem -0.374%
Kelly -0.741%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.75%49.11%49.11%51.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.951.952.0254.64%51.40%51.28%49.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Previsão 50.87%1.97odd justa
EV -0.805%
Vantagem -0.413%
Kelly -0.847%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.41%50.89%50.89%52.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.781.871.871.9556.18%53.40%53.48%51.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Minnesota Twins (Local): 49.13%; Atlanta Braves (Visitante): 50.87%. Para Minnesota Twins (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.04. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.02, com valor esperado de -0.756%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -0.756%E -0.374%K -0.741%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -2.84%E -1.49%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-19 17:20
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -1.74%E -0.869%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.82%E -0.944%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-19 16:35
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -1.74%E -0.869%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -2.33%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-19 13:45
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.74%E -0.869%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.84%E -1.49%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-19 15:50
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.74%E -0.869%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.84%E -1.49%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-19 15:07
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.74%E -0.869%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.84%E -1.49%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-19 14:00
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -1.74%E -0.869%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -4.37%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-19 17:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -1.74%E -0.869%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -4.37%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-19 17:30
BetUS🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.23%E -1.12%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.33%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-19 17:39
Caesars🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.72%E -1.37%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.82%E -0.944%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-19 14:38
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -2.72%E -1.37%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -2.84%E -1.49%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-19 17:20
theScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -2.72%E -1.37%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-19 13:49
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.21%E -1.63%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 17:30
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.21%E -1.63%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 17:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.21%E -1.63%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.21%E -1.63%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 17:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.21%E -1.63%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 17:30
Bally Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.21%E -1.63%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 17:30
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.21%E -1.63%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 17:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.21%E -1.63%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 17:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.21%E -1.63%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.44%E -4.69%K -10.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-19 15:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.70%E -1.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.31%E -0.677%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-19 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.70%E -1.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.31%E -0.677%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-19 16:35
GTbets🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.70%E -1.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.31%E -0.677%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-19 16:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.70%E -1.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.37%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-19 16:35
Bovada🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.70%E -1.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.38%E -2.89%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 17:39
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.70%E -1.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.91%E -3.78%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 16:20
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 05:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 14:45
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.61%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 13:54
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.61%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 10:09
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.61%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 17:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.61%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-18 19:20
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.61%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 10:09
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.38%E -2.89%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 15:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 17:30
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.91%E -3.78%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 04:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.42%E -4.08%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 17:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.42%E -4.08%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 17:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.84%E -1.49%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.87%E -2.61%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 10:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.38%E -2.89%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 13:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.67%E -2.95%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.37%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 17:40
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.67%E -2.95%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.37%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 16:35
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.67%E -2.95%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.37%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.67%E -2.95%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 17:29
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.84%E -1.49%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 16:35
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.84%E -1.49%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 16:33
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.87%E -2.61%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 17:40
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 08:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 08:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 08:55
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.91%E -3.78%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 15:15
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.91%E -3.78%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.65%E -3.50%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 16:34
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.65%E -3.50%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 16:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.65%E -3.50%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.38%E -2.89%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 17:39
ReBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.65%E -3.50%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 17:39
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.65%E -3.50%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 17:29
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.65%E -3.50%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 17:30
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.65%E -3.50%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.91%E -3.78%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 17:40
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.50%EV -7.14%E -3.78%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.50%EV -9.45%E -5.31%K -12.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-19 17:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -7.63%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -7.42%E -4.08%K -9.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-19 17:13
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -10.09%E -5.51%K -12.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -0.805%E -0.413%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 17:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-08-19 17:40
BetOpenly◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-08-19 17:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-08-19 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-08-19 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-08-19 17:40
Novig◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-08-19 17:40
Polymarket◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-19 17:40
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-19 09:30
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-19 17:40
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.4%2026-08-19 17:40