Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers v St. Louis Cardinals

2026-09-27 19:10 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Predicción 67.72%1.48momio equitativo
EV -1.13%
Ventaja -0.772%
Kelly -2.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.33%67.68%67.82%69.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.341.401.401.4674.63%71.28%71.43%68.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Predicción 32.28%3.10momio equitativo
EV +2.97%
Ventaja +0.931%
Kelly +1.36%
Crecimiento +0.040%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.19

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.49%32.32%32.18%34.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.983.003.1938.46%33.59%33.33%31.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 67.72%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante): 32.28%. Para St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.10. 18 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.19, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +2.97%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 69.35%EV -4.51%E -3.20%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.65%EV +2.97%E +0.931%K +1.36%G +0.040%2.3%2026-09-26 23:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 69.35%EV -4.51%E -3.20%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.65%EV +2.97%E +0.931%K +1.36%G +0.040%2.3%2026-09-26 23:39
GTbets🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -4.51%E -3.20%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV +0.065%E +0.021%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-26 23:39
BetUS🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -4.51%E -3.20%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV +0.065%E +0.021%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-27 01:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.19%E -3.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.065%E +0.021%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-26 23:40
BetAnything🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.19%E -3.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.065%E +0.021%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-27 02:15
FanDuel🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -5.87%E -4.22%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV +0.065%E +0.021%K +0.031%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 02:15
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.55%E -4.74%K -17.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.065%E +0.021%K +0.031%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 02:20
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.55%E -4.74%K -17.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.065%E +0.021%K +0.031%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 02:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.55%E -4.74%K -17.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.065%E +0.021%K +0.031%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 02:19
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.55%E -4.74%K -17.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.065%E +0.021%K +0.031%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 02:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.55%E -4.74%K -17.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.065%E +0.021%K +0.031%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 02:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.55%E -4.74%K -17.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.065%E +0.021%K +0.031%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 02:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.55%E -4.74%K -17.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.065%E +0.021%K +0.031%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 02:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.55%E -4.74%K -17.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.065%E +0.021%K +0.031%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 02:19
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.55%E -4.74%K -17.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.065%E +0.021%K +0.031%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 02:19
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.55%E -4.74%K -17.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.065%E +0.021%K +0.031%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 02:20
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.90%E -5.81%K -21.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.065%E +0.021%K +0.031%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-27 02:15
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -7.90%E -5.81%K -21.94%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%EV -0.580%E -0.188%K -0.279%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-27 02:15
Caesars🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.19%E -3.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.55%E -0.508%K -0.756%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 23:44
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.19%E -3.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.55%E -0.508%K -0.756%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 23:54
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.55%E -4.74%K -17.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.55%E -0.508%K -0.756%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 02:19
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.71%EV -2.48%E -1.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.29%EV -2.52%E -0.834%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-27 02:50
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -5.19%E -3.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -2.52%E -0.834%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 01:44
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.84%E -2.70%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.16%E -1.05%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-26 23:39
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.84%E -2.70%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.16%E -1.05%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-27 02:35
Fanatics🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.51%E -3.20%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.16%E -1.05%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 23:39
Bet Right🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.19%E -3.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.16%E -1.05%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 23:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.19%E -3.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.16%E -1.05%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-27 01:45
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.19%E -3.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.16%E -1.05%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-27 01:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.22%E -5.27%K -19.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.16%E -1.05%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-27 02:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.22%E -5.27%K -19.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.16%E -1.05%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-27 02:19
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%EV -1.13%E -0.772%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%EV -4.45%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-26 23:58
MyBookie.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -3.84%E -2.70%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -4.45%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 03:14
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.16%E -2.21%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.78%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-27 00:30
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.19%E -3.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.78%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 23:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.19%E -3.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.78%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 00:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.19%E -3.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.78%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 23:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.19%E -3.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.78%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 23:49
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.19%E -3.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.78%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 02:59
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.19%E -3.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.78%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 03:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.55%E -4.74%K -17.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.78%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-27 00:20
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -9.25%E -6.91%K -27.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -4.78%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-27 02:19
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.48%E -1.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-27 03:15
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.84%E -2.70%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-26 23:45
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.19%E -3.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-27 00:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.19%E -3.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-27 00:30
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -2.48%E -1.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -7.04%E -2.44%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 23:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.84%E -2.70%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.04%E -2.44%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 23:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.48%E -1.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -8.00%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-26 23:45
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.48%E -1.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -8.00%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-26 23:45
Neds🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.80%E -1.24%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -9.62%E -3.44%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 00:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.80%E -1.24%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -9.62%E -3.44%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 00:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.16%E -2.21%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.62%E -3.44%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-26 23:53
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.16%E -2.21%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.62%E -3.44%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-26 23:45
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.19%E -3.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.62%E -3.44%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-26 23:45
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.19%E -3.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.62%E -3.44%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-26 23:44
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.48%E -1.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -11.23%E -4.08%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-27 02:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.19%E -3.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -12.85%E -4.76%K -7.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-26 23:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -6.55%E -4.74%K -17.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -16.07%E -6.18%K -10.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-26 23:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.76%3.17I 31.55%NM 31.24%1.0%2026-09-27 02:50
Polymarket◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-09-26 23:45
ProphetX◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-09-27 02:35
Kalshi◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43%2.0%2026-09-27 03:15
Matchbook◎1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%4.0%2026-09-27 02:35
Smarkets◎1.40I 71.43%NM 65.52%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.48%9.0%2026-09-27 03:15
Arbitraje (2 combinaciones) +0.16%1xBet 1.46 (68.6%) / BetOnline.ag 3.19 (31.4%)Ver las 2 combinaciones
Milwaukee Brewers (Local)St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)Margen
1xBet🎯 1.46 (68.6%)BetOnline.ag🎯 3.19 (31.4%)+0.159%
1xBet🎯 1.46 (68.6%)LowVig.ag🎯 3.19 (31.4%)+0.159%