Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers v Seattle Mariners

Inicio: 2026-08-20 18:11 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 7–4 Seattle Mariners

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Predicción 56.50%1.77momio equitativo
EV -0.002%
Ventaja -0.001%
Kelly -0.002%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.55%56.45%56.56%57.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.631.701.701.7761.35%58.96%58.82%56.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Predicción 43.50%2.30momio equitativo
EV -0.811%
Ventaja -0.356%
Kelly -0.634%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.57%43.55%43.44%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.192.202.2847.62%45.70%45.45%43.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 56.50%; Seattle Mariners (Visitante): 43.50%. Para Milwaukee Brewers (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.77003. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.77000, con un valor esperado de -0.002%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -0.002%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -4.73%E -2.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-20 17:44
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -0.567%E -0.322%K -0.746%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -3.42%E -1.54%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-20 18:05
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.13%E -0.647%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-20 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.13%E -0.647%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 18:05
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61%EV -1.70%E -0.975%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39%EV -1.25%E -0.549%K -0.981%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-20 18:04
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -1.70%E -0.975%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.68%E -0.744%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-20 17:40
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.70%E -0.975%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -2.12%E -0.941%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-20 18:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.70%E -0.975%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -2.12%E -0.941%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-20 16:59
BetUS🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-20 18:10
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.83%E -1.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-20 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.83%E -1.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-20 18:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.83%E -1.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.77%E -3.67%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 17:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.83%E -1.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 17:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.25%E -0.549%K -0.981%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-20 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.25%E -0.549%K -0.981%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-20 17:54
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-20 17:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-20 16:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -4.73%E -2.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 17:38
theScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -1.68%E -0.744%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-20 17:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.42%E -1.54%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-20 18:09
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-20 18:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-20 18:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-20 18:05
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-20 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-20 17:34
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-20 16:59
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.16%E -2.37%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 17:05
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.16%E -2.37%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 18:04
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.16%E -2.37%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.16%E -2.37%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 18:05
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.16%E -2.37%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.16%E -2.37%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 18:05
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.16%E -2.37%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 18:04
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 18:05
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 18:05
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 18:05
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -4.52%E -2.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -0.811%E -0.356%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-20 17:25
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.52%E -2.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-20 18:04
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.52%E -2.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-20 17:54
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.52%E -2.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -6.03%E -2.79%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-20 18:04
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.52%E -2.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -6.03%E -2.79%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-20 18:03
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -5.09%E -3.03%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -3.86%E -1.75%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 18:10
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.09%E -3.03%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 17:14
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.09%E -3.03%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.16%E -2.37%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 18:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.09%E -3.03%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 18:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.09%E -3.03%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 17:10
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 17:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 17:15
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 17:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 17:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 17:15
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 18:09
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 18:09
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 18:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 18:05
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 17:05
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -7.77%E -3.67%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-20 18:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.22%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-20 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.22%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-20 17:42
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-20 17:05
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-20 18:00
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-20 17:59
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -7.91%E -4.85%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-20 18:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.51%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.49%-0.0%2026-08-20 18:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-08-20 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-08-20 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-08-20 18:10
ProphetX◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%0.9%2026-08-20 18:10
Novig◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-08-20 18:10
Polymarket◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-20 18:10
Matchbook◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.7%2026-08-20 18:10
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%2.1%2026-08-20 17:40
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-08-20 17:25