Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers v Seattle Mariners

Início: 2026-08-19 23:40 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 5–7 Seattle Mariners

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Previsão 53.29%1.88odd justa
EV -0.877%
Vantagem -0.471%
Kelly -1.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.22%53.30%53.25%54.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.681.791.791.8659.52%55.98%55.87%53.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Previsão 46.71%2.14odd justa
EV -0.979%
Vantagem -0.462%
Kelly -0.874%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.31%46.70%46.75%47.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.972.062.052.1250.76%48.65%48.78%47.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 53.29%; Seattle Mariners (Visitante): 46.71%. Para Milwaukee Brewers (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.88. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.86, com valor esperado de -0.877%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%EV -0.877%E -0.471%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%EV -2.85%E -1.37%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-19 22:50
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -0.877%E -0.471%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -3.31%E -1.60%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-19 22:50
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.41%E -0.762%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.31%E -1.60%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-19 22:05
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.41%E -0.762%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.31%E -1.60%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-19 23:26
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -1.41%E -0.762%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-19 22:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -1.41%E -0.762%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-19 22:05
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.48%E -1.35%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -0.979%E -0.462%K -0.874%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-19 21:00
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.48%E -1.35%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-19 23:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.48%E -1.35%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-19 22:10
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.48%E -1.35%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.38%E -1.14%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-19 23:10
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.48%E -1.35%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-19 22:40
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.48%E -1.35%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 23:25
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.01%E -1.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.979%E -0.462%K -0.874%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-19 20:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.54%E -1.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-19 22:54
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -3.54%E -1.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -5.18%E -2.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-19 22:40
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -1.45%E -0.685%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-19 13:30
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 22:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 18:30
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 23:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 18:30
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 18:29
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 22:05
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 20:40
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.18%E -2.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 22:30
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.65%E -2.80%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.65%E -2.80%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.65%E -2.80%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 18:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.65%E -2.80%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 23:20
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.65%E -2.80%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 22:50
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.61%E -2.57%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.65%E -2.80%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 22:40
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.61%E -2.57%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.65%E -2.80%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 22:40
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -5.14%E -2.89%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-19 23:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -5.14%E -2.89%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-19 23:30
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.14%E -2.89%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 22:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.14%E -2.89%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 23:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.14%E -2.89%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 22:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.14%E -2.89%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 22:05
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.67%E -3.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 20:40
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 23:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 20:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.21%E -3.53%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 23:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.21%E -3.53%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 23:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.21%E -3.53%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 17:10
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 21:10
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 21:10
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 21:10
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 21:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 21:10
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 11:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 22:10
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 23:25
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 21:15
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 23:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.99%E -4.05%K -8.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-19 23:10
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.27%E -4.18%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 21:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -8.34%E -4.85%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -3.31%E -1.60%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 21:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -8.34%E -4.85%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -3.31%E -1.60%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 21:10
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.47%E -6.23%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -5.65%E -2.80%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-19 21:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-08-19 23:35
Matchbook◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-08-19 23:10
Novig◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%0.9%2026-08-19 23:35
ProphetX◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-08-19 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-08-19 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-08-19 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-08-19 23:35
Polymarket◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-19 22:45
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-19 22:00
Smarkets◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-08-19 23:35