L’École des cotes

Milwaukee Brewers v San Francisco Giants

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-04 18:11 UTC

Score final : Milwaukee Brewers 9–12 San Francisco Giants

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prévision 62.88%1.59cote équitable
EV -1.91%
Avantage -1.23%
Kelly -3.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.03%62.93%62.95%64.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.471.511.511.5668.03%66.04%66.23%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

San Francisco Giants (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.12%2.69cote équitable
EV +0.234%
Avantage +0.087%
Kelly +0.138%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.87%37.07%37.05%37.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.472.602.602.7040.49%38.53%38.46%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -5.06%E -3.35%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV +0.234%E +0.087%K +0.138%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-04 15:59
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -3.80%E -2.48%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -0.509%E -0.190%K -0.303%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-04 17:00
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -2.54%E -1.64%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -0.880%E -0.330%K -0.527%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-04 13:39
theScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%EV -2.54%E -1.64%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%EV -1.25%E -0.470%K -0.754%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-04 18:09
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95%EV -1.91%E -1.23%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05%EV -1.62%E -0.612%K -0.983%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-04 18:09
Everygame1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.17%E -2.06%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -1.62%E -0.612%K -0.983%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-04 18:00
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.62%E -0.612%K -0.983%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-04 15:59
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.62%E -0.612%K -0.983%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-04 15:59
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.62%E -0.612%K -0.983%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-04 18:00
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -1.91%E -1.23%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -1.99%E -0.755%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-04 18:09
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.17%E -2.06%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -2.36%E -0.899%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-04 18:09
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.36%E -0.899%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 16:00
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.36%E -0.899%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 15:59
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.36%E -0.899%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 15:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.36%E -0.899%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 15:59
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.36%E -0.899%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 15:59
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.36%E -0.899%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 16:00
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.36%E -0.899%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 16:00
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.36%E -0.899%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 15:59
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.31%E -4.24%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -2.36%E -0.899%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 15:59
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.31%E -4.24%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -2.36%E -0.899%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 15:59
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.31%E -4.24%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -2.36%E -0.899%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 15:59
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.31%E -4.24%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -2.36%E -0.899%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 15:59
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -3.80%E -2.48%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -2.74%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-04 15:19
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.74%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-04 18:00
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -1.91%E -1.23%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -3.11%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-04 18:09
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -1.91%E -1.23%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -3.11%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-04 18:09
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.80%E -2.48%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.48%E -1.34%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-04 12:19
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.80%E -2.48%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.48%E -1.34%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-04 18:08
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.80%E -2.48%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.48%E -1.34%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-04 18:09
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.80%E -2.48%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.48%E -1.34%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-04 15:29
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.43%E -2.91%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.48%E -1.34%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-04 16:10
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.43%E -2.91%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.48%E -1.34%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-04 17:59
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.48%E -1.34%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 17:49
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.48%E -1.34%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 13:29
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.48%E -1.34%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 13:10
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.57%E -5.15%K -16.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.48%E -1.34%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-04 13:19
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.80%E -2.48%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.22%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-04 15:30
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.80%E -2.48%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.22%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-04 18:05
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.43%E -2.91%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.22%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-04 18:09
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.43%E -2.91%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.22%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-04 18:06
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.43%E -2.91%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.22%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-04 18:09
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.06%E -3.35%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.59%E -1.79%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 17:59
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.06%E -3.35%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.59%E -1.79%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 17:59
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -5.06%E -3.35%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -4.96%E -1.94%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 15:30
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.80%E -2.48%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.33%E -2.09%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-04 17:40
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.80%E -2.48%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.33%E -2.09%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-04 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.80%E -2.48%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.33%E -2.09%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-04 18:09
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.43%E -2.91%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.33%E -2.09%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 15:30
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.43%E -2.91%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.33%E -2.09%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 18:09
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.06%E -3.35%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.33%E -2.09%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-04 18:09
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.33%E -2.09%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-04 18:10
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.33%E -2.09%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-04 17:59
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.33%E -2.09%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-04 13:20
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.33%E -2.09%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-04 13:09
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.33%E -2.09%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-04 13:10
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.33%E -2.09%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-04 13:10
Dabble (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.33%E -2.09%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-04 17:30
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.43%E -2.91%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -6.08%E -2.40%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 18:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.80%E -2.48%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.19%E -2.88%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-04 18:09
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.19%E -2.88%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-04 15:50
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.19%E -2.88%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-04 18:09
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -6.94%E -4.69%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.47%EV -8.30%E -3.36%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-04 18:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.58I 63.29%NM 63.59%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.41%-0.5%2026-06-04 18:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-06-04 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-06-04 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-06-04 18:00
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-06-04 18:10
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-06-04 17:30
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-06-04 18:10
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-06-04 17:40
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%2.3%2026-06-04 18:10
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%2.5%2026-06-04 18:10