Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers v Philadelphia Phillies

Inicio: 2026-06-13 23:11 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 8–9 Philadelphia Phillies

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Predicción 59.71%1.67momio equitativo
EV -0.876%
Ventaja -0.528%
Kelly -1.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.67%59.74%59.72%60.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.541.591.591.6664.94%62.93%62.89%60.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Predicción 40.29%2.48momio equitativo
EV -0.894%
Ventaja -0.363%
Kelly -0.612%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.25%40.26%40.28%41.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.382.402.4645.45%42.06%41.67%40.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 59.71%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante): 40.29%. Para Milwaukee Brewers (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.67. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.66, con un valor esperado de -0.876%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -0.876%E -0.528%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -3.71%E -1.55%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-13 23:00
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -1.47%E -0.893%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV -1.30%E -0.529%K -0.894%G +0.000%1.4%2026-06-13 23:10
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.47%E -0.893%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -2.51%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-13 22:50
BetUS🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -2.67%E -1.64%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -2.91%E -1.21%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-13 23:00
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -3.26%E -2.02%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -0.894%E -0.363%K -0.612%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-13 21:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.26%E -2.02%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.30%E -0.529%K -0.894%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-13 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.26%E -2.02%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.30%E -0.529%K -0.894%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-13 22:50
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.26%E -2.02%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.30%E -0.529%K -0.894%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-13 23:00
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.26%E -2.02%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.30%E -0.529%K -0.894%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-13 22:50
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.26%E -2.02%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-13 22:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.26%E -2.02%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-13 22:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.26%E -2.02%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 22:50
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-13 20:00
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-13 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 22:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 23:00
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 23:09
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.13%E -2.63%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 23:00
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.13%E -2.63%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 22:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.53%E -2.82%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-13 23:00
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-13 23:00
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-13 20:20
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.52%E -1.91%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 20:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 23:10
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 22:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-13 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.06%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 15:20
SportsBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.06%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.52%E -1.91%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 22:50
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.06%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 23:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.06%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 20:20
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.06%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-13 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.06%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-13 23:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.06%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-13 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.65%E -3.58%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 23:00
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.65%E -3.58%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.65%E -3.58%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.10%E -0.865%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 23:10
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.10%E -0.865%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 23:10
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 19:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 19:00
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 23:10
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 23:10
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-13 16:50
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-13 20:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.89%EV -8.55%E -3.77%K -6.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-13 23:00
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.85%E -4.39%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 23:10
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.85%E -4.39%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.85%E -4.39%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.85%E -4.39%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 23:10
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.85%E -4.39%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 23:10
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.85%E -4.39%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.85%E -4.39%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.85%E -4.39%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 23:10
LeoVegas🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.85%E -4.39%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 23:10
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -7.44%E -4.80%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-13 23:10
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.44%E -4.80%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.44%E -4.80%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-13 23:09
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -8.04%E -5.22%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-13 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -8.04%E -5.22%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-13 23:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.65I 60.61%NM 60.53%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.47%0.1%2026-06-13 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-06-13 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-06-13 21:30
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-06-13 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-06-13 23:10
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.6%2026-06-13 23:10
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.6%2026-06-13 23:10
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-06-13 23:10
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%2.1%2026-06-13 23:10
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%4.5%2026-06-13 23:10