Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers v Cleveland Guardians

Inicio: 2026-06-18 18:11 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 2–4 Cleveland Guardians

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Predicción 56.95%1.76momio equitativo
EV +0.231%
Ventaja +0.131%
Kelly +0.304%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.78%57.03%57.03%58.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.671.671.7662.50%59.89%59.88%56.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Predicción 43.05%2.32momio equitativo
EV +0.308%
Ventaja +0.132%
Kelly +0.232%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.03%42.97%42.97%44.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.232.222.3346.51%44.76%45.05%42.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 56.95%; Cleveland Guardians (Visitante): 43.05%. Para Cleveland Guardians (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.32. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.33, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.308%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -5.46%E -3.29%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV +0.308%E +0.132%K +0.232%G +0.001%3.2%2026-06-18 17:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.60%E -4.03%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -0.983%E -0.428%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-18 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.60%E -4.03%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -0.983%E -0.428%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-18 17:50
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.17%E -4.40%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.983%E -0.428%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 17:50
LeoVegas🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.17%E -4.40%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.983%E -0.428%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.17%E -4.40%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.983%E -0.428%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 17:50
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.17%E -4.40%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.983%E -0.428%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.17%E -4.40%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.983%E -0.428%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 17:50
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.17%E -4.40%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.983%E -0.428%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 17:50
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.17%E -4.40%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.983%E -0.428%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 17:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.983%E -0.428%K -0.757%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 18:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.88%E -5.55%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.983%E -0.428%K -0.757%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-18 15:50
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.62%E -1.53%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.41%E -0.617%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-18 17:50
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.17%E -4.40%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.84%E -0.809%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.17%E -4.40%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.84%E -0.809%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.17%E -4.40%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.84%E -0.809%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 17:50
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.17%E -4.40%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.84%E -0.809%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 17:50
GTbets🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -1.48%E -0.854%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -2.27%E -1.00%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-18 18:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.89%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -2.27%E -1.00%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-18 18:10
Pinnacle🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.48%E -0.854%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-18 18:00
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.14%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-18 07:30
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.33%E -2.57%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.14%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-18 18:09
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.89%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.14%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 16:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.89%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.14%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 14:59
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -8.31%E -5.16%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.14%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-18 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -1.48%E -0.854%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -3.57%E -1.59%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-18 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -1.48%E -0.854%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -3.57%E -1.59%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-18 18:09
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.33%E -2.57%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.57%E -1.59%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-18 18:00
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -0.908%E -0.522%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -4.00%E -1.79%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 18:10
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -0.908%E -0.522%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -4.00%E -1.79%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 18:09
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.46%E -3.29%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.00%E -1.79%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 07:10
Everygame🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV +0.231%E +0.131%K +0.304%G +0.001%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -4.43%E -1.99%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-18 18:00
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.89%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.43%E -1.99%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 18:00
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.89%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.43%E -1.99%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 18:09
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.46%E -3.29%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.43%E -1.99%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 18:09
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.46%E -3.29%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.43%E -1.99%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 18:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.62%E -1.53%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-18 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.19%E -1.87%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 18:00
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.19%E -1.87%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 18:00
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.19%E -1.87%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 18:08
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.19%E -1.87%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 18:10
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 18:00
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.33%E -2.57%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 11:50
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.89%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 18:10
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.89%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 18:09
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.89%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 04:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.89%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 18:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.89%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 18:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.89%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 18:09
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.89%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 18:10
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.89%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 15:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.03%E -3.66%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-18 18:00
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.03%E -3.66%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-18 17:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.60%E -4.03%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 15:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.60%E -4.03%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 18:10
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-18 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.33%E -2.57%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.72%E -2.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 18:00
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -6.03%E -3.66%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -5.72%E -2.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-18 18:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -6.15%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-18 18:10
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.62%E -1.53%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -6.15%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-18 18:00
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.15%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 18:10
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.19%E -1.87%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.19%E -1.87%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-18 17:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-06-18 18:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-18 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-18 18:10
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-06-18 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-06-18 18:10
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-18 18:10
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-18 18:10
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-06-18 18:10
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%2.4%2026-06-18 18:10
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%2.7%2026-06-18 18:10