L’École des cotes

Milwaukee Brewers v Cleveland Guardians

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-16 23:41 UTC

Score final : Milwaukee Brewers 2–1 Cleveland Guardians

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prévision 57.57%1.74cote équitable
EV -1.56%
Avantage -0.910%
Kelly -2.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.64%57.23%57.61%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.641.651.7163.69%60.90%60.61%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.43%2.36cote équitable
EV +0.135%
Avantage +0.057%
Kelly +0.100%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.18%42.77%42.39%45.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.252.252.3650.00%44.49%44.44%42.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -3.86%E -2.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV +0.135%E +0.057%K +0.100%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-16 23:40
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -3.28%E -1.95%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -0.289%E -0.123%K -0.214%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-16 12:29
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.86%E -2.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.289%E -0.123%K -0.214%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-16 02:29
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.28%E -1.95%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.14%E -0.488%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-16 23:30
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%EV -2.71%E -1.60%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%EV -1.56%E -0.673%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-16 23:30
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.13%E -1.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.99%E -0.860%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-16 22:10
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -2.13%E -1.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -2.41%E -1.05%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-16 22:10
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.71%E -1.60%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.41%E -1.05%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-16 23:30
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.86%E -2.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.41%E -1.05%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-15 21:49
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.86%E -2.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.41%E -1.05%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-16 20:30
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.01%E -3.04%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.41%E -1.05%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 17:40
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.01%E -3.04%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.41%E -1.05%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 01:18
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.01%E -3.04%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.41%E -1.05%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 12:29
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.01%E -3.04%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.41%E -1.05%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 23:40
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.16%E -3.78%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -2.41%E -1.05%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 23:00
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.74%E -4.16%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.41%E -1.05%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 23:00
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.74%E -4.16%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.41%E -1.05%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 23:00
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.74%E -4.16%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.41%E -1.05%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 23:00
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.74%E -4.16%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.41%E -1.05%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 23:00
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.74%E -4.16%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.41%E -1.05%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 13:20
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.31%E -4.54%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.41%E -1.05%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 23:40
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.31%E -4.54%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.41%E -1.05%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 23:40
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.01%E -3.04%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.26%E -1.43%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 23:30
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.16%E -3.78%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.26%E -1.43%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 12:30
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -6.74%E -4.16%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -3.26%E -1.43%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 23:40
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -6.74%E -4.16%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -3.26%E -1.43%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 23:40
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.59%E -3.41%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.68%E -1.62%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 11:50
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.89%E -4.93%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -3.68%E -1.62%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-16 23:40
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -6.74%E -4.16%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -4.11%E -1.82%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 23:40
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.28%E -1.95%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.53%E -2.01%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.86%E -2.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.53%E -2.01%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 23:40
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.86%E -2.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.53%E -2.01%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 23:39
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.86%E -2.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.53%E -2.01%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 23:40
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.01%E -3.04%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.53%E -2.01%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.01%E -3.04%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.53%E -2.01%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 13:50
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.01%E -3.04%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.53%E -2.01%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 13:50
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.16%E -3.78%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.53%E -2.01%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 23:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.74%E -4.16%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.53%E -2.01%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 23:40
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.89%E -4.93%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.53%E -2.01%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 21:20
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.89%E -4.93%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.53%E -2.01%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 23:40
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.89%E -4.93%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.53%E -2.01%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 23:40
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.89%E -4.93%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.53%E -2.01%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 23:40
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.01%E -3.04%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.38%E -2.41%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 23:40
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.01%E -3.04%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.38%E -2.41%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.01%E -3.04%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.38%E -2.41%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 23:40
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -7.89%E -4.93%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -5.38%E -2.41%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-16 23:40
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -7.89%E -4.93%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -5.38%E -2.41%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-16 23:40
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.28%E -1.95%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.65%E -3.02%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 23:40
Dabble (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.43%E -2.67%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.65%E -3.02%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 23:30
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.74%E -4.16%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.65%E -3.02%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 23:40
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.31%E -4.54%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.65%E -3.02%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.89%E -4.93%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.65%E -3.02%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 23:40
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -9.62%E -6.12%K -16.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -6.65%E -3.02%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 23:40
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -7.31%E -4.54%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.37%EV -7.08%E -3.23%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%EV -9.62%E -6.12%K -16.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%EV -7.50%E -3.44%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-16 23:40
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.74%E -4.16%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -7.93%E -3.65%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 23:40
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.13%E -1.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.77%E -4.08%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 23:40
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -4.43%E -2.67%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -8.77%E -4.08%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-16 23:40
NordicBet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -5.59%E -3.41%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -9.20%E -4.30%K -8.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 23:40
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -1.56%E -0.910%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -10.90%E -5.19%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 23:40
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.13%E -1.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.90%E -5.19%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 23:40
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.01%E -3.04%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.90%E -5.19%K -9.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 23:40
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -4.43%E -2.67%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -15.14%E -7.57%K -15.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-16 23:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-06-16 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-06-16 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-06-16 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-06-16 23:40
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-06-16 16:00
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-06-16 20:40
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-06-16 23:40
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%3.2%2026-06-16 23:40
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%3.4%2026-06-16 23:30
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%6.8%2026-06-16 23:40