La escuela de los momios

Milwaukee Brewers v Cincinnati Reds

Inicio: 2026-06-30 23:41 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 7–2 Cincinnati Reds

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Predicción 60.49%1.65momio equitativo
EV -1.40%
Ventaja -0.860%
Kelly -2.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.43%60.53%60.56%61.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.571.571.6365.36%63.60%63.69%61.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Predicción 39.51%2.53momio equitativo
EV -0.040%
Ventaja -0.016%
Kelly -0.026%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.44%39.47%39.44%40.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.422.422.5343.48%41.28%41.24%39.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.40%E -0.860%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.81%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-30 20:29
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -2.01%E -1.24%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-30 23:39
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.61%E -1.62%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.22%E -0.490%K -0.817%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-30 23:20
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.61%E -1.62%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -1.62%E -0.651%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-30 23:39
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.61%E -1.62%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -2.02%E -0.813%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-30 23:40
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.61%E -1.62%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -2.02%E -0.813%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-30 23:39
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -0.040%E -0.016%K -0.026%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-30 15:10
BetAnything1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -1.62%E -0.651%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-30 23:39
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -3.20%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-30 20:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 23:39
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 23:40
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:28
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 23:39
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.82%E -2.40%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.20%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 17:49
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.82%E -2.40%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.20%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 13:09
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.82%E -2.40%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 12:28
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -3.82%E -2.40%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -4.78%E -1.98%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 23:39
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.82%E -2.40%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 23:39
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.82%E -2.40%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 23:39
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.82%E -2.40%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 23:39
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.43%E -2.80%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.20%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 21:50
MyBookie.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.43%E -2.80%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.20%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 23:38
FanDuel1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -4.43%E -2.80%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.43%E -2.80%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 23:39
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.43%E -2.80%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 23:39
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.43%E -2.80%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 20:19
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.43%E -2.80%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.36%E -2.68%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 12:39
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.43%E -2.80%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.36%E -2.68%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 12:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.03%E -3.20%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.20%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 05:09
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.03%E -3.20%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.39%E -1.81%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:59
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.03%E -3.20%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 13:59
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.03%E -3.20%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 13:59
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.03%E -3.20%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 23:40
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.64%E -3.61%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.20%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 22:29
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.64%E -3.61%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.20%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 21:49
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.64%E -3.61%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.20%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 21:49
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.64%E -3.61%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.20%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 21:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.64%E -3.61%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.20%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 21:49
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.64%E -3.61%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.20%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 21:49
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.64%E -3.61%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.20%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 21:49
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.64%E -3.61%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.20%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 21:49
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.64%E -3.61%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 11:49
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.64%E -3.61%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 23:30
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.64%E -3.61%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 12:29
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.64%E -3.61%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 23:39
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.64%E -3.61%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 23:40
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.64%E -3.61%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 23:40
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.64%E -3.61%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 23:40
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.64%E -3.61%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 18:29
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.24%E -4.03%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.20%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 21:50
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.24%E -4.03%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.20%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 21:49
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.24%E -4.03%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.20%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 21:49
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.24%E -4.03%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 12:29
Dabble (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.24%E -4.03%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 21:39
DraftKings1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.24%E -4.03%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 23:40
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -6.85%E -4.45%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -8.34%E -3.59%K -6.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 23:17
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.45%E -4.87%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.20%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 19:00
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.45%E -4.87%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.20%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 19:00
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.45%E -4.87%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.20%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 19:00
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.45%E -4.87%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 21:49
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.45%E -4.87%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 23:40
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.45%E -4.87%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 21:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-06-30 23:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-06-30 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-06-30 23:40
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18%0.9%2026-06-30 23:40
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-06-30 23:40
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-06-30 23:39
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-06-30 23:40
ProphetX1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-06-30 23:40
BetOpenly1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%1.8%2026-06-30 23:39
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%2.8%2026-06-30 23:39