默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Milwaukee Brewers v Cincinnati Reds

开赛时间： 2026-09-12 23:11 UTC

最终结果： Milwaukee Brewers 13–9 Cincinnati Reds

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

65%

35%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Milwaukee Brewers (主队)

预测 65.41%1.53公平赔率

EV +2.04%

优势 +1.31%

Kelly +3.64%

增长率 +0.074%

假设最高赔率为 1.56

博彩公司预测分布

61.58%65.31%65.48%66.59%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.401.461.461.5671.43%68.54%68.49%64.10%最小值均值中位数最大值

Cincinnati Reds (客队)

预测 34.59%2.89公平赔率

EV -1.42%

优势 -0.497%

Kelly -0.766%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.85

博彩公司预测分布

33.41%34.69%34.52%38.42%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.482.712.702.8540.32%36.85%37.04%35.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Milwaukee Brewers (主队)：65.41%；Cincinnati Reds (客队)：34.59%。对于“Milwaukee Brewers (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.53。当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.56，对应+2.04%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Unibet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV +2.04%E +1.31%K +3.64%G +0.074%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -13.52%E -5.41%K -9.02%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-12 23:10
TABtouch🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV +0.731%E +0.475%K +1.35%G +0.010%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -14.22%E -5.73%K -9.61%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 22:45
1xBet🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 64.57%EV -0.577%E -0.380%K -1.11%G +0.000%	2.77I 36.10%NM 35.43%EV -4.19%E -1.51%K -2.36%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-09-12 21:05
Everygame🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -1.89%E -1.26%K -3.77%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -4.88%E -1.77%K -2.79%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-09-12 20:47
Pinnacle🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.54%E -1.70%K -5.18%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -1.42%E -0.497%K -0.766%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-09-12 21:10
GTbets🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.54%E -1.70%K -5.18%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -1.42%E -0.497%K -0.766%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-09-12 22:50
LowVig.ag🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.54%E -1.70%K -5.18%G +0.000%	2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -1.76%E -0.621%K -0.959%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-09-12 22:50
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.54%E -1.70%K -5.18%G +0.000%	2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -1.76%E -0.621%K -0.959%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-09-12 22:50
BetUS🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -2.54%E -1.70%K -5.18%G +0.000%	2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -3.84%E -1.38%K -2.16%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-09-12 22:50
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.54%E -1.70%K -5.18%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.61%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-12 22:30
BetRivers🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.54%E -1.70%K -5.18%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.61%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-12 22:30
Svenska Spel🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.54%E -1.70%K -5.18%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.61%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-12 22:30
BetAnything🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.19%E -2.16%K -6.65%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.15%E -1.12%K -1.75%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-09-12 22:30
FanDuel🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -3.19%E -2.16%K -6.65%G +0.000%	2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -4.53%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-09-12 23:10
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -3.19%E -2.16%K -6.65%G +0.000%	2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -4.53%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-09-12 22:29
Caesars🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.19%E -2.16%K -6.65%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.88%E -1.77%K -2.79%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-12 20:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.19%E -2.16%K -6.65%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.88%E -1.77%K -2.79%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-12 23:05
betPARX🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.19%E -2.16%K -6.65%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.61%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-12 22:30
NordicBet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.19%E -2.16%K -6.65%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.34%E -3.15%K -5.05%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 21:00
Betsson🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.19%E -2.16%K -6.65%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.34%E -3.15%K -5.05%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 20:59
PlayUp🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.19%E -2.16%K -6.65%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.34%E -3.15%K -5.05%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 22:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.19%E -2.16%K -6.65%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.34%E -3.15%K -5.05%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.19%E -2.16%K -6.65%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.34%E -3.15%K -5.05%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 23:09
Neds🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.19%E -2.16%K -6.65%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.34%E -3.15%K -5.05%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 23:09
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.85%E -2.62%K -8.19%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.15%E -1.12%K -1.75%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-09-12 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.85%E -2.62%K -8.19%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.61%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-12 21:50
Bovada🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -4.50%E -3.08%K -9.79%G +0.000%	2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -3.84%E -1.38%K -2.16%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-12 21:04
Bet Right🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.50%E -3.08%K -9.79%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.88%E -1.77%K -2.79%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-12 23:05
SportsBet🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.50%E -3.08%K -9.79%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.88%E -1.77%K -2.79%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-12 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.50%E -3.08%K -9.79%G +0.000%	2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.91%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 23:04
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.50%E -3.08%K -9.79%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.61%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-09-12 22:55
Virgin Bet🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.50%E -3.08%K -9.79%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.34%E -3.15%K -5.05%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-12 22:30
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.50%E -3.08%K -9.79%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.34%E -3.15%K -5.05%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-12 22:30
Coolbet🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.16%E -3.56%K -11.46%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.15%E -1.12%K -1.75%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-12 23:10
BetMGM🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.16%E -3.56%K -11.46%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.15%E -1.12%K -1.75%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-12 23:10
888sport🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.16%E -3.56%K -11.46%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.88%E -1.77%K -2.79%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.16%E -3.56%K -11.46%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.88%E -1.77%K -2.79%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 23:10
Bet Victor🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.16%E -3.56%K -11.46%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.61%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-12 23:03
betano_uk🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.16%E -3.56%K -11.46%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.61%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-12 23:05
Casumo🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.16%E -3.56%K -11.46%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.61%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-12 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.16%E -3.56%K -11.46%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.61%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-12 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.20%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.15%E -1.12%K -1.75%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-12 23:09
Coral🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.20%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.15%E -1.12%K -1.75%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-12 23:10
BoyleSports🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.20%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.88%E -1.77%K -2.79%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-12 23:10
William Hill🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.20%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.88%E -1.77%K -2.79%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-12 21:19
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.20%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.61%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-09-12 21:55
betfred_uk🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.20%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.61%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-09-12 22:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.20%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.61%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-09-12 23:10
Grosvenor🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.20%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.34%E -3.15%K -5.05%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-09-12 23:10
LeoVegas🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.20%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.34%E -3.15%K -5.05%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-09-12 23:10
Paddy Power🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.20%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.37%E -3.58%K -5.79%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-09-12 20:45
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.20%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.29%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-09-12 22:43
Betway🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.03%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.42%E -0.497%K -0.766%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-12 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.03%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.88%E -1.77%K -2.79%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-12 23:10
DraftKings🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.71%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.03%G +0.000%	2.74I 36.50%NM 34.29%EV -5.22%E -1.91%K -3.00%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-12 23:10
Fanatics🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.03%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.61%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-12 23:10
Bally Bet🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.03%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.34%E -3.15%K -5.05%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-09-12 23:10
theScore Bet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.12%E -5.01%K -16.95%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.61%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-09-12 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -7.77%E -5.51%K -18.96%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.29%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-09-12 23:10
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.43%E -6.02%K -21.07%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.61%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-09-12 23:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.43%E -6.02%K -21.07%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.61%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-09-12 23:10
888sport (SE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.43%E -6.02%K -21.07%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.61%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-09-12 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.43%E -6.02%K -21.07%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -8.34%E -3.15%K -5.05%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-09-12 23:10
ReBet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.43%E -6.02%K -21.07%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -8.34%E -3.15%K -5.05%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-09-12 23:10

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
BetOpenly◎	1.50I 66.67%NM 66.67%	3.00I 33.33%NM 33.33%	0.0%	2026-09-12 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%	2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%	0.7%	2026-09-12 23:10
Polymarket◎	1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%	2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%	1.1%	2026-09-12 22:55
Kalshi◎	1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%	2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%	1.1%	2026-09-12 23:00
Novig◎	1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%	2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%	1.1%	2026-09-12 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%	2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%	1.1%	2026-09-12 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%	2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%	1.1%	2026-09-12 23:10
Smarkets◎	1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%	2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%	2.3%	2026-09-12 23:10
ProphetX◎	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%	2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%	2.3%	2026-09-12 23:10
Matchbook◎	1.40I 71.43%NM 63.92%	2.48I 40.32%NM 36.08%	11.8%	2026-09-12 23:10

Milwaukee Brewers v Cincinnati Reds

胜负盘

Milwaukee Brewers (主队)

Cincinnati Reds (客队)

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

博彩交易所 ? (10)

博彩交易所 (10)