Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers v Chicago Cubs

Início: 2026-09-09 23:41 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 8–6 Chicago Cubs

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Previsão 54.39%1.84odd justa
EV -1.55%
Vantagem -0.856%
Kelly -1.91%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.39%54.44%54.26%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.761.761.8158.82%56.84%56.82%55.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Previsão 45.61%2.19odd justa
EV -0.576%
Vantagem -0.264%
Kelly -0.488%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.44%45.56%45.74%46.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.972.092.102.1850.76%47.89%47.62%45.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 54.39%; Chicago Cubs (Visitante): 45.61%. Para Chicago Cubs (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.19. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.18, com valor esperado de -0.576%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.55%E -0.856%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.86%E -1.34%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-09 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.55%E -0.856%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.31%E -1.56%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-09 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.55%E -0.856%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.31%E -1.56%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-09 13:45
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -2.09%E -1.16%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -1.49%E -0.689%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-09 17:40
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.09%E -1.16%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.94%E -0.904%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-09 14:19
BetUS🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.64%E -1.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.94%E -0.904%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-09 14:30
BetAnything🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -2.64%E -1.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -2.86%E -1.34%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-09 13:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -2.64%E -1.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -6.05%E -2.94%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 13:10
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -2.64%E -1.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -6.05%E -2.94%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 13:10
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -2.64%E -1.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -6.05%E -2.94%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 13:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -2.64%E -1.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -6.05%E -2.94%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 13:10
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -2.64%E -1.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -6.05%E -2.94%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -2.64%E -1.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -6.05%E -2.94%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 13:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -2.64%E -1.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -6.05%E -2.94%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 13:10
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -2.64%E -1.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -6.05%E -2.94%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 13:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -2.64%E -1.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -6.05%E -2.94%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 13:10
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -2.64%E -1.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -6.05%E -2.94%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 13:10
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.18%E -1.79%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.576%E -0.264%K -0.488%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-09 12:15
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.18%E -1.79%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.96%E -3.41%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 13:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.22%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 15:40
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.22%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 18:24
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.22%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 11:29
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.22%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 07:04
betfred_uk🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 10:34
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 19:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.27%E -2.43%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.31%E -1.56%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 07:08
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.27%E -2.43%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.22%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 17:40
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.27%E -2.43%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.14%E -2.47%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 15:40
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.27%E -2.43%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.59%E -2.70%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 06:34
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.27%E -2.43%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.59%E -2.70%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 06:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.27%E -2.43%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.87%E -3.90%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 13:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.27%E -2.43%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.87%E -3.90%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 13:10
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -1.49%E -0.689%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-08 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.22%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 16:45
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.22%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 13:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.22%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 07:04
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.22%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 13:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.22%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 19:45
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.22%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 19:49
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.22%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 10:31
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.14%E -2.47%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 07:04
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.36%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.94%E -0.904%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-08 18:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.36%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.94%E -0.904%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-08 19:14
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.36%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.22%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 16:50
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.36%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.22%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 11:45
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.36%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.22%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 19:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.36%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 07:09
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -2.86%E -1.34%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 11:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.77%E -1.79%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 12:10
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.22%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 18:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.22%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 18:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.22%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 18:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.22%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 18:29
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.22%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 05:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -5.59%E -2.70%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 07:07
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 17:40
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 07:04
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 07:05
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 07:08
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.44%E -3.75%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.94%E -0.904%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 16:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.44%E -3.75%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.22%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 05:04
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -6.44%E -3.75%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -10.15%E -5.15%K -10.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 13:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.53%E -4.43%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 07:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-09-09 16:35
Novig◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-09-09 16:55
Matchbook◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-09-09 05:35
ProphetX◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-09-09 15:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-09-09 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-09-09 16:40
Smarkets◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-09-09 17:35
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-09-09 16:10