La escuela de los momios

Milwaukee Brewers v Chicago Cubs

Inicio: 2026-06-27 23:11 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 2–8 Chicago Cubs

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Predicción 58.20%1.72momio equitativo
EV -2.22%
Ventaja -1.32%
Kelly -3.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.59%58.34%58.17%59.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.631.631.6863.29%61.17%61.35%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Predicción 41.80%2.39momio equitativo
EV +0.734%
Ventaja +0.304%
Kelly +0.520%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.30%41.66%41.83%42.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.302.302.4145.45%43.50%43.48%41.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV +0.734%E +0.304%K +0.520%G +0.004%2.1%2026-06-27 20:49
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -3.38%E -2.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -0.102%E -0.043%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-27 22:59
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -3.38%E -2.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -0.520%E -0.219%K -0.377%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-27 23:00
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -3.38%E -2.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -0.520%E -0.219%K -0.377%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-27 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.88%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -0.938%E -0.396%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-27 23:09
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.88%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -0.938%E -0.396%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-27 23:00
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.22%E -1.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.77%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-27 23:00
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.77%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-27 20:49
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.77%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-27 22:19
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.77%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-27 22:59
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.30%E -3.91%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.77%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-27 22:59
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.30%E -3.91%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.77%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-27 23:09
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.88%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.77%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.88%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.77%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 22:59
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.22%E -1.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.61%E -1.12%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-27 20:59
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.22%E -1.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.61%E -1.12%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-27 22:59
MyBookie.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.61%E -1.12%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-27 23:08
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.03%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 22:19
Bovada1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -3.03%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-27 22:59
DraftKings1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -8.04%E -5.09%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -3.03%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 23:10
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-27 20:49
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-27 21:40
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-27 20:49
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 20:49
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 20:50
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 23:09
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 20:49
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 23:10
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 20:49
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 20:50
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 20:49
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 20:50
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 15:10
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.88%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 20:49
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.28%E -1.87%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:20
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-27 23:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-27 23:10
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-27 23:09
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.97%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-27 23:09
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 22:09
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 23:10
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 23:10
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 23:10
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 23:10
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -5.12%E -2.25%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-27 23:10
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.12%E -2.25%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:09
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.12%E -2.25%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 20:50
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.12%E -2.25%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 20:49
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.54%E -2.45%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 23:09
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 22:10
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 22:10
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 22:00
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 22:00
Dabble (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.77%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 22:39
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.13%E -3.15%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 22:59
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 20:49
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 23:09
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.88%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 20:50
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.30%E -3.91%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -6.79%E -3.04%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 23:09
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.71%E -3.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-27 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.88%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-27 22:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 59.67%2.50I 40.00%NM 40.33%-0.8%2026-06-27 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-06-27 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-06-27 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-06-27 23:10
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-06-27 23:10
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-06-27 23:00
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-06-27 23:10
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-06-27 23:10
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-06-27 23:10
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.3%2026-06-27 23:10