默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Milwaukee Brewers v Chicago Cubs

开赛时间: 2026-09-07 18:11 UTC

最终结果: Milwaukee Brewers 4–3 Chicago Cubs

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

65 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Milwaukee Brewers (主队)

预测 53.70%1.86公平赔率
EV -1.73%
优势 -0.944%
Kelly -2.08%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.83

博彩公司预测分布
52.00%53.69%53.66%55.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.661.781.791.8360.24%56.19%55.87%54.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chicago Cubs (客队)

预测 46.30%2.16公平赔率
EV -1.38%
优势 -0.649%
Kelly -1.22%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.13

博彩公司预测分布
44.88%46.31%46.34%48.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.932.032.042.1351.81%49.25%49.02%46.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Milwaukee Brewers (主队):53.70%;Chicago Cubs (客队):46.30%。 对于“Chicago Cubs (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.16。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.13,期望值为-1.38%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -1.73%E -0.944%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.85%E -0.871%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-07 17:05
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.73%E -0.944%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-07 00:09
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.73%E -0.944%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-07 18:04
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.73%E -0.944%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-07 05:08
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.73%E -0.944%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -3.23%E -1.55%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-07 18:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.73%E -0.944%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -3.23%E -1.55%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-07 18:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.73%E -0.944%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 22:45
BetUS🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.26%E -1.24%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.31%E -1.09%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-07 18:08
MyBookie.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -2.26%E -1.24%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -5.55%E -2.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 18:04
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.26%E -1.24%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.48%E -3.21%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-07 18:04
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.80%E -1.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.38%E -0.649%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-07 17:35
FanDuel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.80%E -1.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.62%E -2.24%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-06 18:20
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.80%E -1.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-07 18:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.34%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 19:45
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.34%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 04:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.34%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 04:19
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.34%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 15:44
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.34%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 06:38
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.34%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.55%E -2.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 00:15
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.34%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.48%E -3.21%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 04:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.34%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.48%E -3.21%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 04:15
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.34%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.48%E -3.21%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 16:19
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.34%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 05:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.34%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 16:20
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.34%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 00:10
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.34%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.72%E -4.98%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 15:44
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.34%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.72%E -4.98%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 18:10
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -3.88%E -2.17%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -6.01%E -2.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 06:15
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -3.88%E -2.17%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -3.88%E -2.17%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -3.88%E -2.17%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 18:10
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -3.88%E -2.17%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -3.88%E -2.17%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -3.88%E -2.17%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 18:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.41%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:45
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.41%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.01%E -2.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 18:09
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.41%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.01%E -2.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 18:05
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -4.41%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -8.79%E -4.46%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 18:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 18:10
betfred_uk🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 18:09
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 18:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 17:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 17:55
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -8.79%E -4.46%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -8.79%E -4.46%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 18:10
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -9.25%E -4.72%K -9.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 18:10
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -10.18%E -5.25%K -10.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 18:10
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 18:09
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 18:09
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 19:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 19:15
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.48%E -3.21%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 18:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.56%E -3.77%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.56%E -3.77%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 18:10
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.56%E -3.77%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -6.56%E -3.77%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -8.33%E -4.21%K -8.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 17:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.59%EV -6.56%E -3.77%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.41%EV -10.64%E -5.51%K -11.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 18:10
DraftKings🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.10%E -4.10%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 18:10
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.10%E -4.10%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 18:10
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.17%E -4.78%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 18:10
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -8.17%E -4.78%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 18:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.71%E -5.12%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 18:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -10.86%E -6.54%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 18:10
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%-0.0%2026-09-07 18:08
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-09-07 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-09-07 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-09-07 18:10
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-06 21:15
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-07 05:25
Novig◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-07 18:05
ProphetX◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-09-07 18:10
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.5%2026-09-07 18:10
Matchbook◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.5%2026-09-07 18:10