La escuela de los momios

Miami Marlins v Texas Rangers

Inicio: 2026-06-24 16:11 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 4–2 Texas Rangers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Predicción 47.52%2.10momio equitativo
EV +0.263%
Ventaja +0.125%
Kelly +0.237%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.34%47.52%47.53%49.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.002.002.1152.36%50.04%50.00%47.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Texas Rangers (Visitante)

Predicción 52.48%1.91momio equitativo
EV +0.240%
Ventaja +0.126%
Kelly +0.264%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.91%52.48%52.47%53.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.771.831.831.9156.50%54.71%54.64%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -4.49%E -2.23%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV +0.240%E +0.126%K +0.264%G +0.001%2.1%2026-06-24 12:39
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -6.39%E -3.24%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -0.809%E -0.428%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-24 16:09
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.33%E -0.710%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-24 16:10
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.33%E -0.710%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-24 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.81%E -4.03%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.86%E -0.994%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:10
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.81%E -4.03%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.86%E -0.994%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:09
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.81%E -4.03%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.86%E -0.994%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:10
LeoVegas1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.81%E -4.03%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.86%E -0.994%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:09
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.81%E -4.03%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.86%E -0.994%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:10
Bally Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.81%E -4.03%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.86%E -0.994%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:10
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.81%E -4.03%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.86%E -0.994%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:09
BetUS2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.11%E -1.03%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.38%E -1.28%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-24 16:09
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.81%E -4.03%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -2.38%E -1.28%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:10
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.81%E -4.03%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -2.38%E -1.28%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:10
BetAnything2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.16%E -0.559%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.91%E -1.57%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-24 16:10
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.16%E -0.559%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.91%E -1.57%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-24 16:09
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.91%E -1.57%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-24 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.91%E -1.57%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-24 13:29
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.91%E -1.57%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 12:39
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.91%E -1.57%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:09
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -8.29%E -4.30%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -2.91%E -1.57%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 16:09
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -8.29%E -4.30%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -2.91%E -1.57%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 16:10
Everygame2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV +0.263%E +0.125%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-24 15:59
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.212%E -0.101%K -0.193%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-24 16:00
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.687%E -0.329%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-24 16:00
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.687%E -0.329%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-24 16:00
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-24 13:30
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-24 15:50
MyBookie.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-24 15:50
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 16:10
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 12:30
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 14:49
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 12:40
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 16:09
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.91%E -2.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 12:40
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.91%E -2.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 12:40
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.24%E -4.84%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.96%E -2.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-24 16:10
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.48%E -2.46%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-24 15:39
DraftKings2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -4.49%E -2.23%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -4.48%E -2.46%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 15:39
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.48%E -2.46%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-24 12:39
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.01%E -2.77%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 13:30
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.59%E -1.26%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.53%E -3.07%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 15:00
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.59%E -1.26%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.53%E -3.07%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.59%E -1.26%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.53%E -3.07%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 16:00
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.59%E -1.26%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.53%E -3.07%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 16:00
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.53%E -3.07%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 15:39
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.53%E -3.07%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-24 16:09
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.53%E -3.07%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-24 13:30
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.53%E -3.07%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-24 15:50
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.53%E -3.07%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-24 15:40
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.53%E -3.07%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-24 13:29
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.53%E -3.07%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-24 13:30
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.53%E -3.07%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-23 21:00
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.53%E -3.07%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-24 12:29
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.91%E -2.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.53%E -3.07%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-24 16:00
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.91%E -2.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.53%E -3.07%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-24 15:50
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.53%E -3.07%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 13:49
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.53%E -3.07%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 16:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.59%E -1.26%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.58%E -3.70%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.59%E -1.26%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.58%E -3.70%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:00
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.59%E -1.26%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 15:59
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.59%E -1.26%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:10
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-24 15:50
Betclic (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -7.81%E -4.03%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-24 15:48
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%0.2%2026-06-24 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-06-24 16:10
ProphetX2.05I 48.78%NM 48.49%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%0.6%2026-06-24 16:10
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-06-24 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-06-24 16:10
BetOpenly2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-06-24 16:09
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-06-24 16:00
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-06-24 16:10
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%1.7%2026-06-24 16:10
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-06-24 16:10