La escuela de los momios

Miami Marlins v Tampa Bay Rays

Inicio: 2026-06-05 23:11 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 0–6 Tampa Bay Rays

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Predicción 45.72%2.19momio equitativo
EV -1.25%
Ventaja -0.581%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.01%45.67%45.74%46.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.962.102.102.1651.02%47.62%47.62%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante)

Predicción 54.28%1.84momio equitativo
EV -1.75%
Ventaja -0.964%
Kelly -2.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.05%54.33%54.26%55.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.751.751.8159.52%57.22%57.14%55.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -1.25%E -0.581%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -4.46%E -2.53%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-05 20:29
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.71%E -0.796%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-05 22:30
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.71%E -0.796%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-05 22:59
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.71%E -0.796%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.55%E -3.19%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-05 22:29
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.71%E -0.796%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.26%E -4.89%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-05 22:39
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -2.17%E -1.01%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -1.75%E -0.964%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-05 23:00
BetUS2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -2.17%E -1.01%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-05 22:39
BetAnything2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.17%E -1.01%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.83%E -1.58%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-05 23:09
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.17%E -1.01%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.55%E -3.19%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-05 20:50
Everygame2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.63%E -1.23%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.75%E -0.964%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-05 22:40
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.63%E -1.23%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-05 22:59
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.63%E -1.23%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-05 22:59
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.08%E -1.45%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.46%E -2.53%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-05 23:10
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.08%E -1.45%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 20:50
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.08%E -1.45%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 20:50
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.08%E -1.45%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 20:50
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.08%E -1.45%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 20:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.08%E -1.45%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 20:49
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.08%E -1.45%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 20:30
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.08%E -1.45%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 20:50
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.08%E -1.45%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 20:50
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.08%E -1.45%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.63%E -3.86%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 23:10
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.08%E -1.45%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.63%E -3.86%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 23:10
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.08%E -1.45%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.63%E -3.86%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 23:10
MyBookie.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -3.54%E -1.68%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -4.46%E -2.53%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-05 22:39
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 23:10
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-05 22:29
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-05 22:34
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-05 22:39
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-05 22:39
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.46%E -2.53%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 23:09
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 22:49
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 23:10
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 22:59
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 22:59
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 22:49
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.55%E -3.19%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 23:00
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 22:40
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 22:40
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 05:39
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 22:40
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 22:40
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.72%E -4.54%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-05 22:29
DraftKings2.09I 47.85%NM 44.85%EV -4.45%E -2.13%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.15%EV -7.72%E -4.54%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-05 23:10
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.91%E -2.36%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-05 23:09
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.91%E -2.36%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-05 22:49
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.91%E -2.36%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.55%E -3.19%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-05 23:09
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -4.91%E -2.36%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -7.17%E -4.20%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-05 23:10
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.91%E -2.36%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.72%E -4.54%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-05 23:10
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.37%E -2.59%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.46%E -2.53%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 22:50
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.37%E -2.59%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.46%E -2.53%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 22:40
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.83%E -2.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.46%E -2.53%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 22:58
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.28%E -3.06%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.46%E -2.53%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-05 23:10
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.28%E -3.06%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 23:07
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.28%E -3.06%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.55%E -3.19%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-05 22:59
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.28%E -3.06%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.55%E -3.19%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-05 23:10
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.28%E -3.06%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-05 22:30
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 45.72%EV -7.20%E -3.55%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -7.17%E -4.20%K -10.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-05 22:48
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.57%E -4.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-05 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -10.40%E -5.30%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -8.80%E -5.24%K -12.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-05 23:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.21I 45.25%NM 45.02%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.98%0.5%2026-06-05 23:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-06-05 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-06-05 23:10
ProphetX2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%0.9%2026-06-05 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-06-05 23:10
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%1.9%2026-06-05 23:10
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-06-05 23:10
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-06-05 23:00
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%3.0%2026-06-05 23:10
BetOpenly2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%4.0%2026-06-05 22:59