مدرسة الاحتمالات

Miami Marlins v St. Louis Cardinals

البداية: 2026-04-21 22:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Miami Marlins 3–5 St. Louis Cardinals

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Miami Marlins (المضيف)

التنبؤ 52.51%1.90السعر العادل
EV -1.28%
الأفضلية -0.683%
Kelly -1.46%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.88

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.07%52.49%52.62%54.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.711.831.831.8858.48%54.73%54.64%53.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

St. Louis Cardinals (الضيف)

التنبؤ 47.49%2.11السعر العادل
EV -0.743%
الأفضلية -0.356%
Kelly -0.682%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.09

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.48%47.51%47.38%48.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.882.002.002.0953.19%50.12%50.00%47.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -1.28%E -0.683%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -6.44%E -3.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 22:30
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.81%E -0.967%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -2.17%E -1.05%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-21 22:05
Everygame1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.81%E -0.967%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.64%E -1.29%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-21 21:59
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -1.81%E -0.967%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -6.92%E -3.53%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 22:30
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -1.81%E -0.967%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -6.92%E -3.53%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 22:30
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -2.33%E -1.25%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -5.97%E -3.01%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 07:25
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.86%E -1.55%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.22%E -0.586%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-21 22:10
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.86%E -1.55%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.22%E -0.586%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-21 22:00
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.86%E -1.55%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.02%E -2.51%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.86%E -1.55%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.02%E -2.51%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 22:10
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.86%E -1.55%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.97%E -3.01%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 22:10
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.86%E -1.55%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.97%E -3.01%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.86%E -1.55%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.97%E -3.01%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 22:10
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.86%E -1.55%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.92%E -3.53%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 10:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.86%E -1.55%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 22:30
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.86%E -1.55%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 22:30
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.86%E -1.55%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 22:30
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.86%E -1.55%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 22:30
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.86%E -1.55%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 22:30
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.86%E -1.55%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 22:30
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.86%E -1.55%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 22:30
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.86%E -1.55%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.87%E -4.06%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 22:30
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.86%E -1.55%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.87%E -4.06%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 22:30
GTbets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -3.38%E -1.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -0.743%E -0.356%K -0.682%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-21 22:15
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -3.38%E -1.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -1.22%E -0.586%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-21 22:15
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -3.38%E -1.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -1.22%E -0.586%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-21 22:15
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.38%E -1.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -4.07%E -2.01%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-21 22:05
MyBookie.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.38%E -1.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -4.07%E -2.01%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-21 22:10
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.91%E -2.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.02%E -2.51%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 20:30
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.91%E -2.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.02%E -2.51%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-20 20:55
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.91%E -2.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.02%E -2.51%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 22:00
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.91%E -2.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -3.91%E -2.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -8.34%E -4.32%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 19:40
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.91%E -2.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.29%E -4.86%K -10.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 20:15
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.43%E -2.44%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.07%E -2.01%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 22:30
DraftKings1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.43%E -2.44%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.07%E -2.01%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 22:25
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.43%E -2.44%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.02%E -2.51%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 22:15
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.43%E -2.44%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.02%E -2.51%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 22:09
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.43%E -2.44%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.49%E -2.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 22:30
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.43%E -2.44%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.97%E -3.01%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 20:30
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.96%E -2.74%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.12%E -1.53%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 22:40
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.48%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.64%E -1.29%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 22:20
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.48%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.64%E -1.29%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 22:05
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.48%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.64%E -1.29%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 22:20
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.48%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.07%E -2.01%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 22:35
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -5.48%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -4.54%E -2.26%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 22:39
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.48%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.02%E -2.51%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 22:10
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.48%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.02%E -2.51%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 22:10
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.48%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.02%E -2.51%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 22:10
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.48%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.02%E -2.51%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 23:24
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.48%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.02%E -2.51%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 22:40
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.48%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.02%E -2.51%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 22:04
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.48%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.97%E -3.01%K -6.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 22:25
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.48%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 22:28
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.01%E -3.36%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.07%E -2.01%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 22:15
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.01%E -3.36%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.07%E -2.01%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 22:15
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -6.01%E -3.36%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -7.87%E -4.06%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 22:40
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -8.63%E -4.96%K -11.67%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -10.72%E -5.70%K -12.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-21 22:40
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -10.21%E -5.97%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -2.64%E -1.29%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 22:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%0.3%2026-04-21 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%0.3%2026-04-21 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%0.3%2026-04-21 22:40
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-04-21 22:35
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-21 22:10
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-21 22:20
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-04-21 22:40
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%2.0%2026-04-21 22:10
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%3.0%2026-04-21 22:40
BetOpenly1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%3.2%2026-04-21 22:35