La scuola delle quote

Miami Marlins v Philadelphia Phillies

Inizio: 2026-05-02 20:11 UTC

Finale: Miami Marlins 4–0 Philadelphia Phillies

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Miami Marlins (Casa)

Previsione 54.32%1.84quota equa
EV -2.22%
Vantaggio -1.24%
Kelly -2.78%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.33%54.39%54.26%55.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.681.751.751.8059.52%57.07%57.14%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.68%2.19quota equa
EV +0.496%
Vantaggio +0.226%
Kelly +0.414%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.58%45.61%45.74%46.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.962.092.102.2051.02%47.82%47.62%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.85%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.496%E +0.226%K +0.414%G +0.002%2.0%2026-05-02 15:55
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.85%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.417%E -0.191%K -0.354%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-02 15:55
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.85%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.417%E -0.191%K -0.354%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-02 15:50
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -2.22%E -1.24%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -1.33%E -0.616%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-02 20:05
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.22%E -1.24%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.79%E -0.831%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-02 16:59
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.22%E -1.24%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.79%E -0.831%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-02 16:30
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.77%E -1.55%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.79%E -0.831%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-02 19:40
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.79%E -0.831%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 15:50
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.79%E -0.831%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 20:00
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.48%E -3.15%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.79%E -0.831%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 15:55
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.48%E -3.15%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.79%E -0.831%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 15:49
FanDuel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.40%E -2.50%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.16%E -1.49%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 16:00
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.85%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 15:45
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.85%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 16:00
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.85%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 15:45
MyBookie.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.85%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 17:29
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.85%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 17:30
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.40%E -2.50%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 19:56
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 18:05
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 18:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 15:45
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 15:45
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 15:45
SportsBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.48%E -3.15%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 16:00
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.48%E -3.15%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 19:55
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.48%E -3.15%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 20:10
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.03%E -3.48%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:05
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.03%E -3.48%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 18:05
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.03%E -3.48%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:05
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.03%E -3.48%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:04
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.03%E -3.48%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:40
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.66%E -4.50%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 19:40
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -2.22%E -1.24%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -4.99%E -2.40%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 20:10
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.85%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.99%E -2.40%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 17:25
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.99%E -2.40%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 17:04
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.99%E -2.40%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 19:45
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.99%E -2.40%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 16:59
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.40%E -2.50%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.44%E -2.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 17:04
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.40%E -2.50%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.44%E -2.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 17:05
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.44%E -2.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 20:00
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.44%E -2.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 20:00
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.90%E -2.86%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 19:59
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.90%E -2.86%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 20:00
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.90%E -2.86%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.90%E -2.86%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 20:00
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.90%E -2.86%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 20:00
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.90%E -2.86%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 20:00
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.90%E -2.86%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 20:00
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.90%E -2.86%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 20:00
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.40%E -2.50%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 20:10
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 20:00
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 20:00
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 20:00
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 19:59
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.48%E -3.15%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 20:00
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.48%E -3.15%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 20:10
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.03%E -3.48%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 17:43
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.03%E -3.48%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 17:30
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.64%E -4.32%K -8.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 20:00
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.86%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -10.47%E -5.34%K -10.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 20:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-05-02 19:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-05-02 19:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-05-02 20:00
Novig1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-05-02 20:05
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-05-02 20:10
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-02 17:05
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.5%2026-05-02 20:10
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-05-02 19:40
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%2.8%2026-05-02 20:10
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%3.0%2026-05-02 19:40