Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Miami Marlins v New York Mets

Inizio: 2026-05-22 23:11 UTC

Finale: Miami Marlins 2–1 New York Mets

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

61 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Miami Marlins (Casa)

Previsione 51.13%1.96quota equa
EV -1.32%
Vantaggio -0.686%
Kelly -1.42%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.93

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.13%51.15%51.05%52.63%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.871.871.9355.56%53.45%53.48%51.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

New York Mets (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.87%2.05quota equa
EV -1.28%
Vantaggio -0.632%
Kelly -1.25%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.37%48.85%48.95%49.87%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.901.951.952.0252.63%51.22%51.28%49.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Miami Marlins (Casa): 51.13%; New York Mets (Trasferta): 48.87%. Per New York Mets (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.05. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.02, con un valore atteso del -1.28%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.32%E -0.686%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.74%E -1.38%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-22 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -1.32%E -0.686%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -5.19%E -2.67%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-22 21:29
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -1.84%E -0.956%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-22 23:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.35%E -1.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-22 19:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.35%E -1.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-22 19:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.77%E -0.879%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-22 22:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.77%E -0.879%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-22 22:49
GTbets🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.77%E -0.879%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-22 22:49
BetUS🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.77%E -0.879%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-22 22:59
BetAnything🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.28%E -0.632%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-22 22:39
Everygame🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.28%E -0.632%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-22 21:39
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.21%E -2.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 14:40
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 21:29
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 21:30
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 21:30
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 21:30
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 21:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 21:29
LeoVegas🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 21:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 21:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 21:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.72%E -1.89%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-22 23:09
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.19%E -2.67%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 22:28
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 21:30
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 21:29
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-22 21:09
TAB🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-22 22:09
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-22 19:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-22 21:09
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-22 23:09
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-22 16:20
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-22 23:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-22 22:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 16:59
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 20:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -4.90%E -2.64%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -2.74%E -1.38%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-22 21:09
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.90%E -2.64%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.21%E -2.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-22 22:30
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.64%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.19%E -2.67%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 14:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.64%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.19%E -2.67%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 23:09
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-22 21:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-22 21:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.23%E -1.63%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 21:09
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.23%E -1.63%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 21:10
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.23%E -1.63%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 21:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.21%E -2.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 22:30
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.21%E -2.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 22:30
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 23:09
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 23:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 21:59
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-22 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-22 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-22 16:10
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-22 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.93%E -3.22%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-22 23:09
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -6.44%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -2.74%E -1.38%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 21:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.44%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 22:59
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.44%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 23:08
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.44%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 20:49
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.44%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 20:49
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.97%E -4.43%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-22 22:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%0.1%2026-05-22 23:09
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-05-22 23:09
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-05-22 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-05-22 23:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-05-22 23:09
BetOpenly1.94I 51.55%NM 51.13%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.87%0.8%2026-05-22 22:49
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-05-22 23:09
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-05-22 13:30
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-05-22 22:59
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-05-22 22:09