Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins v New York Mets

Início: 2026-05-24 17:41 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 4–0 New York Mets

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Previsão 53.97%1.85odd justa
EV -1.23%
Vantagem -0.672%
Kelly -1.48%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.63%53.93%54.20%55.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.761.751.8358.82%56.95%56.98%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Mets (Visitante)

Previsão 46.03%2.17odd justa
EV -0.120%
Vantagem -0.056%
Kelly -0.103%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.70%46.07%45.80%47.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.992.092.102.1750.25%47.82%47.62%46.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Miami Marlins (Local): 53.97%; New York Mets (Visitante): 46.03%. Para New York Mets (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.173. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.170, com valor esperado de -0.120%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.23%E -0.672%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-24 15:59
BetAnything🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.96%E -0.921%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-24 17:39
Everygame🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.96%E -0.921%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-24 16:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -2.85%E -1.58%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.72%E -2.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 17:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.85%E -1.58%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:49
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.85%E -1.58%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 17:39
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.39%E -1.89%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.120%E -0.056%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-24 17:30
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.39%E -1.89%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.581%E -0.269%K -0.501%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-24 17:39
BetUS🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.39%E -1.89%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.04%E -0.484%K -0.905%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-24 17:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.39%E -1.89%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.50%E -0.702%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-24 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.39%E -1.89%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.50%E -0.702%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-24 17:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.93%E -2.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.80%E -1.82%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 17:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.93%E -2.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.10%E -2.99%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.93%E -2.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 17:40
DraftKings🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%EV -3.93%E -2.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.21%EV -8.41%E -4.22%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 17:40
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.47%E -2.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 17:30
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.47%E -2.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 17:30
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.47%E -2.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 16:00
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.47%E -2.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 15:48
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.47%E -2.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 17:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.47%E -2.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 17:30
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.47%E -2.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.26%E -2.05%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 17:39
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.47%E -2.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 17:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.47%E -2.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 15:59
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.01%E -2.85%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.26%E -2.05%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 17:30
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.01%E -2.85%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.26%E -2.05%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 17:29
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.01%E -2.85%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.72%E -2.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 17:28
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.01%E -2.85%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.72%E -2.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 17:10
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.01%E -2.85%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.72%E -2.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 17:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.01%E -2.85%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 16:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.01%E -2.85%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 17:40
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 17:09
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 17:00
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 17:00
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.26%E -2.05%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 17:20
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 17:10
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 17:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -6.09%E -3.50%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.50%E -0.702%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 17:40
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.09%E -3.50%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 17:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.09%E -3.50%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 17:39
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.63%E -3.83%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.50%E -0.702%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 17:40
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.63%E -3.83%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.50%E -0.702%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 17:40
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.63%E -3.83%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.50%E -0.702%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.63%E -3.83%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.50%E -0.702%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 17:40
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.63%E -3.83%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.50%E -0.702%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 17:40
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.63%E -3.83%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 17:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.63%E -3.83%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 17:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.63%E -3.83%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 17:29
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.63%E -3.83%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 16:40
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.63%E -3.83%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 15:59
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 16:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 16:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 17:40
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 15:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 17:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 17:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 17:39
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.71%E -4.51%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 17:40
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.26%E -2.05%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 17:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-05-24 17:40
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-24 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-05-24 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-05-24 17:40
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.52%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.48%1.3%2026-05-24 17:40
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-05-24 17:20
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-05-24 17:40
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%2.6%2026-05-24 17:40
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%2.7%2026-05-24 17:40
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%7.0%2026-05-24 17:30