Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins v Milwaukee Brewers

Início: 2026-04-19 17:41 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 5–3 Milwaukee Brewers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Previsão 51.22%1.95odd justa
EV -0.639%
Vantagem -0.329%
Kelly -0.680%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.94

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.47%51.23%51.05%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.881.891.9455.56%53.22%52.91%51.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Previsão 48.78%2.05odd justa
EV -0.483%
Vantagem -0.237%
Kelly -0.464%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.37%48.77%48.95%50.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.871.941.922.0453.48%51.56%52.08%49.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Miami Marlins (Local): 51.22%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante): 48.78%. Para Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.05. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.04, com valor esperado de -0.483%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -0.639%E -0.329%K -0.680%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -3.41%E -1.72%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-19 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.15%E -0.597%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.85%E -3.03%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-19 16:30
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -1.66%E -0.866%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.30%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 17:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -1.66%E -0.866%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.30%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -1.66%E -0.866%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.30%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 16:30
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.18%E -1.14%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.36%E -2.76%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 17:05
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.14%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 15:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.14%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 15:15
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.14%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 15:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.14%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 15:05
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.14%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.14%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 16:30
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.14%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 16:30
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.14%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.14%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 16:30
Bally Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.14%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 16:30
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.14%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.14%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 16:30
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -2.18%E -1.14%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -8.78%E -4.69%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.69%E -1.41%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.31%E -3.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 15:15
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.69%E -1.41%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.31%E -3.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.69%E -1.41%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.31%E -3.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.69%E -1.41%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.31%E -3.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 16:30
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -3.20%E -1.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -0.483%E -0.237%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-19 17:39
BetUS🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.20%E -1.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.46%E -0.722%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 17:05
Everygame🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.20%E -1.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.46%E -0.722%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 16:14
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.20%E -1.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 17:05
NordicBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.20%E -1.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 17:35
Betsson🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.20%E -1.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 17:33
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.80%E -4.13%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 16:30
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.80%E -4.13%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 16:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.71%E -1.97%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.970%E -0.478%K -0.942%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-19 16:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.71%E -1.97%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.970%E -0.478%K -0.942%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-19 16:30
GTbets🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.71%E -1.97%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.970%E -0.478%K -0.942%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-19 17:20
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.71%E -1.97%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.34%E -3.30%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 17:35
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.22%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 16:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.22%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 16:30
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.22%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 17:39
Bet Right🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.22%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 17:39
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.22%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 17:05
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.22%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 17:40
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.22%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 17:24
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.22%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 16:50
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.78%E -4.69%K -10.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 16:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.74%E -2.55%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 17:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.43%E -1.22%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 17:29
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.90%E -1.98%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 17:31
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 17:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.34%E -3.30%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 17:39
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -5.76%E -3.13%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -1.46%E -0.722%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.76%E -3.13%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.39%E -2.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 17:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.27%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.85%E -3.03%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 17:20
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.27%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 17:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.79%E -3.73%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.41%E -1.72%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 17:40
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.43%E -1.22%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 17:39
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.43%E -1.22%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 17:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.76%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.39%E -2.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 17:40
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 17:27
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%0.2%2026-04-19 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%0.2%2026-04-19 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%0.2%2026-04-19 17:40
ProphetX1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-04-19 17:40
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-04-19 17:40
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.7%2026-04-19 17:40
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-04-19 16:55
BetOpenly1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%4.5%2026-04-19 17:39
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%4.6%2026-04-19 17:40
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%7.3%2026-04-19 17:35