Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins v Los Angeles Angels

2026-08-08 20:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Predicción 58.84%1.70momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -2.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.84%58.84%58.81%59.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.561.621.621.6764.10%61.62%61.73%59.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visitante)

Predicción 41.16%2.43momio equitativo
EV +0.011%
Ventaja +0.005%
Kelly +0.008%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.44%41.16%41.19%42.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.322.322.4345.45%43.07%43.10%41.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Miami Marlins (Local): 58.84%; Los Angeles Angels (Visitante): 41.16%. Para Los Angeles Angels (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.4297. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.4300, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.011%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.91%E -1.76%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV +0.011%E +0.005%K +0.008%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-07 20:04
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.91%E -1.76%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -0.400%E -0.165%K -0.282%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-07 20:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -1.73%E -1.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -1.22%E -0.510%K -0.874%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-08 00:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.91%E -1.76%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.22%E -0.510%K -0.874%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 20:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.91%E -1.76%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.22%E -0.510%K -0.874%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 20:05
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -1.73%E -1.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -2.05%E -0.860%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-07 23:29
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.91%E -1.76%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -2.05%E -0.860%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-08 00:55
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.46%E -1.04%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 20:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.46%E -1.04%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 20:05
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -2.32%E -1.40%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -2.87%E -1.22%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-07 23:35
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.91%E -1.76%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.28%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-08 00:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.09%E -2.51%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.28%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 20:05
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.67%E -2.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.28%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 20:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.67%E -2.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.28%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 00:10
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.67%E -2.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.28%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.67%E -2.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.28%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.67%E -2.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.28%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 00:10
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.28%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.09%E -2.51%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.69%E -1.58%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 01:40
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -2.91%E -1.76%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -4.10%E -1.76%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-08 02:00
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.67%E -2.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.10%E -1.76%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 00:10
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.67%E -2.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.10%E -1.76%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.67%E -2.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.10%E -1.76%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.67%E -2.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.10%E -1.76%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 00:10
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.67%E -2.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.10%E -1.76%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 00:10
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.67%E -2.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.10%E -1.76%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 00:10
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.10%E -1.76%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 23:35
FanDuel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.50%E -2.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.52%E -1.95%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 18:30
Bovada🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -4.09%E -2.51%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -4.52%E -1.95%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 19:19
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.67%E -2.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.52%E -1.95%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 23:25
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.52%E -1.95%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 00:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -4.93%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 23:30
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.91%E -1.76%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 00:55
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.91%E -1.76%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 02:20
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.09%E -2.51%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 20:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.67%E -2.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 00:30
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.67%E -2.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 23:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.67%E -2.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 23:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.67%E -2.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 23:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.67%E -2.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 23:25
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.67%E -2.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 00:04
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.67%E -2.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 00:30
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.67%E -2.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 02:20
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 00:30
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.85%E -3.66%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 18:28
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.85%E -3.66%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 20:04
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.85%E -3.66%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 20:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.85%E -3.66%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 20:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.85%E -3.66%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.85%E -3.66%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -5.85%E -3.66%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -5.75%E -2.51%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 00:29
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.09%E -2.51%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.57%E -2.90%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 23:35
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.09%E -2.51%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.57%E -2.90%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 23:35
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -6.57%E -2.90%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.50%E -2.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 20:05
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.50%E -2.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 20:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.03%E -4.45%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 02:10
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 00:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -7.03%E -4.45%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -9.45%E -4.30%K -7.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 00:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-08-08 01:55
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-08-08 01:45
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-07 18:30
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08%1.0%2026-08-08 02:40
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-07 23:35
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%3.0%2026-08-07 23:40
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%9.1%2026-08-08 00:30