Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Miami Marlins v Baltimore Orioles

Inizio: 2026-05-07 22:41 UTC

Finale: Miami Marlins 4–3 Baltimore Orioles

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

61 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Miami Marlins (Casa)

Previsione 53.74%1.86quota equa
EV -1.65%
Vantaggio -0.902%
Kelly -1.99%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.25%53.75%53.84%54.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.771.771.8357.80%56.53%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Baltimore Orioles (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.26%2.16quota equa
EV -0.548%
Vantaggio -0.255%
Kelly -0.477%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.08%46.25%46.16%46.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.082.062.1550.00%48.15%48.54%46.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Miami Marlins (Casa): 53.74%; Baltimore Orioles (Trasferta): 46.26%. Per Baltimore Orioles (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.16. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.15, con un valore atteso del -0.548%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.65%E -0.902%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.86%E -1.36%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-07 20:34
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.65%E -0.902%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.86%E -1.36%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-07 22:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.65%E -0.902%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -3.32%E -1.59%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-07 22:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.65%E -0.902%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -3.32%E -1.59%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-07 22:35
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -2.19%E -1.20%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -1.47%E -0.692%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-07 22:39
Everygame🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.72%E -1.51%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.01%E -0.472%K -0.886%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-07 17:44
BetUS🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.72%E -1.51%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.47%E -0.692%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-07 22:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.25%E -2.05%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 22:39
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.17%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 22:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.17%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 22:39
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.17%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 22:39
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.17%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 22:40
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.17%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.17%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 22:35
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.17%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 00:00
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.17%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 22:40
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.80%E -2.12%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 22:00
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.80%E -2.12%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.64%E -2.76%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 22:40
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.34%E -2.44%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.17%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 22:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.34%E -2.44%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.17%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 22:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.34%E -2.44%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.64%E -2.76%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 20:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -0.548%E -0.255%K -0.477%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-07 22:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.86%E -1.36%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 22:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.86%E -1.36%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 17:20
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 21:58
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.71%E -2.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 21:54
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.71%E -2.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.17%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 22:38
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.17%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 20:39
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.17%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 22:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.17%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 22:39
NordicBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.64%E -2.76%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 22:40
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 21:30
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.25%E -2.05%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 22:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.17%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.17%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.94%E -0.913%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 22:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.94%E -0.913%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 22:29
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.17%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 22:39
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.17%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 19:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.17%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 20:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.17%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 19:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.17%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 22:40
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.49%E -3.74%K -7.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.49%E -3.73%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.94%E -0.913%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 21:54
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.49%E -3.73%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.94%E -0.913%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 21:54
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.49%E -3.73%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.94%E -0.913%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 21:54
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.49%E -3.73%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.94%E -0.913%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 21:54
LeoVegas🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.49%E -3.73%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.94%E -0.913%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 21:54
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.49%E -3.73%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.94%E -0.913%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 21:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.49%E -3.73%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.94%E -0.913%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 21:54
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.49%E -3.73%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.94%E -0.913%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 21:55
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.49%E -3.73%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.17%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 22:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.49%E -3.73%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.17%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 22:34
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.49%E -3.73%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.17%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 22:40
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.86%E -1.36%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 17:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.86%E -1.36%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 21:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.86%E -1.36%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 21:55
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.86%E -1.36%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 21:54
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.86%E -1.36%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 21:55
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.17%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 16:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 53.60%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.40%-0.2%2026-05-07 22:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-05-07 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-05-07 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-05-07 22:25
ProphetX1.84I 54.35%NM 53.88%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.12%0.9%2026-05-07 22:39
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-07 22:09
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-05-07 22:40
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.7%2026-05-07 22:40
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-05-07 22:20
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%2.1%2026-05-07 22:20