Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Texas Rangers

Inicio: 2026-04-12 20:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 2–5 Texas Rangers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Predicción 53.57%1.87momio equitativo
EV -0.891%
Ventaja -0.482%
Kelly -1.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.13%53.74%53.32%57.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.651.771.771.8560.61%56.61%56.50%54.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Texas Rangers (Visitante)

Predicción 46.43%2.15momio equitativo
EV +2.14%
Ventaja +0.973%
Kelly +1.78%
Crecimiento +0.038%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.86%46.26%46.68%47.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.962.072.082.2051.02%48.27%48.08%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 53.57%; Texas Rangers (Visitante): 46.43%. Para Texas Rangers (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.15. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.20, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.14%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -11.61%E -7.03%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +2.14%E +0.973%K +1.78%G +0.038%6.1%2026-04-12 17:25
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.78%E -3.90%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.181%E -0.084%K -0.157%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 17:25
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.78%E -3.90%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.181%E -0.084%K -0.157%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 19:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -0.645%E -0.301%K -0.566%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-12 19:10
GTbets🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.50%E -1.37%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.57%E -0.742%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-12 20:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.50%E -1.37%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.04%E -0.966%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-12 20:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.50%E -1.37%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.04%E -0.966%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-12 20:10
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-12 01:25
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.18%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 01:15
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.18%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 07:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 19:10
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 19:10
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 19:10
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 19:10
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 19:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 19:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.78%E -3.90%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 20:10
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.32%E -4.23%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 10:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.32%E -4.23%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 10:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.32%E -4.23%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 10:10
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.32%E -4.23%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 10:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.93%E -5.25%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 19:55
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.891%E -0.482%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.97%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-12 19:55
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.97%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-12 20:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -2.97%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 19:44
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.43%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 10:10
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.43%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 01:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.78%E -3.90%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -3.43%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 19:10
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.78%E -3.90%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -3.43%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 20:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.78%E -3.90%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -3.43%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 20:10
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.78%E -3.90%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -3.43%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 19:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.78%E -3.90%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -3.43%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 19:10
Bovada🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.11%E -2.29%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 20:08
DraftKings🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -7.86%E -4.57%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 20:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 16:50
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 19:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 00:30
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 00:35
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 13:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 00:29
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 00:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 20:05
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.18%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 19:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 01:14
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.32%E -4.23%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 17:45
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.86%E -4.57%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 20:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.29%E -2.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 01:19
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -8.93%E -5.25%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 20:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -1.43%E -0.775%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -6.22%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 20:10
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.22%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 17:54
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.11%E -2.29%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.22%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 19:15
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.11%E -2.29%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.22%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.00%E -5.95%K -14.70%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -6.22%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 20:10
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 20:10
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 20:10
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.18%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.15%E -3.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 20:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -8.07%E -4.08%K -8.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 20:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -9.00%E -4.59%K -9.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 20:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-04-12 20:10
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-12 11:55
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-12 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-04-12 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-04-12 20:10
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%2.7%2026-04-12 20:10
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%2.7%2026-04-12 20:10
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%3.0%2026-04-12 20:10
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%3.2%2026-04-12 18:10
ProphetX1.01I 99.01%NM 65.99%1.96I 51.02%NM 34.01%50.0%2026-04-12 20:10