La escuela de los momios

Los Angeles Dodgers v Tampa Bay Rays

Inicio: 2026-06-16 02:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 4–3 Tampa Bay Rays

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Predicción 61.88%1.62momio equitativo
EV -0.996%
Ventaja -0.622%
Kelly -1.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.45%61.93%62.03%62.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.491.541.541.6067.11%64.92%64.94%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante)

Predicción 38.12%2.62momio equitativo
EV -0.882%
Ventaja -0.339%
Kelly -0.551%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.04%38.07%37.97%39.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.512.502.6041.67%39.83%40.00%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetAnything1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -0.996%E -0.622%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -4.31%E -1.72%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-16 02:09
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -1.61%E -1.02%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -2.79%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-16 02:09
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -1.61%E -1.02%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-16 02:09
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.23%E -1.41%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -1.64%E -0.637%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-16 00:00
GTbets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -2.85%E -1.82%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -0.882%E -0.339%K -0.551%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-16 02:09
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.85%E -1.82%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.64%E -0.637%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-16 02:09
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.85%E -1.82%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.64%E -0.637%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-16 01:59
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.85%E -1.82%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.85%E -1.82%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 02:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.85%E -1.82%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 02:10
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.85%E -1.82%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.51%E -3.54%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 01:50
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.47%E -2.22%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -3.93%E -1.56%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-16 02:10
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.47%E -2.22%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-15 17:30
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.47%E -2.22%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 02:09
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.47%E -2.22%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 02:10
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.47%E -2.22%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -5.46%E -2.20%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 02:09
BetMGM1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.47%E -2.22%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 02:09
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -0.882%E -0.339%K -0.551%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-15 23:30
MyBookie.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -3.17%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 01:00
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 02:09
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 19:59
DraftKings1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -5.08%E -2.04%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 02:10
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 02:09
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 02:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 02:10
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.71%E -3.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.79%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-15 20:20
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.71%E -3.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.79%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-16 00:09
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.71%E -3.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.79%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-15 23:30
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.71%E -3.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.79%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-15 23:29
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.71%E -3.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 02:09
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.71%E -3.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.46%E -2.20%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 19:50
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.71%E -3.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.46%E -2.20%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 19:50
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.71%E -3.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 02:09
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.79%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 00:00
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.79%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.79%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 23:29
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.79%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 23:30
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.79%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 23:29
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.79%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 23:30
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.79%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 23:30
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.79%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 23:30
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.93%E -1.56%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 23:00
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -4.31%E -1.72%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 02:09
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 02:09
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 02:09
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 02:09
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 18:10
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 00:00
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 17:40
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 02:09
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.95%E -3.91%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.79%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 23:30
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.95%E -3.91%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.79%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 23:29
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.95%E -3.91%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 01:59
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.56%E -4.35%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.79%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 23:30
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.56%E -4.35%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.79%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 23:30
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.18%E -4.79%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.79%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 17:30
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.18%E -4.79%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-15 23:49
Dabble (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.18%E -4.79%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 01:40
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.18%E -4.79%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-15 23:30
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.18%E -4.79%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 02:07
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.18%E -4.79%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 19:50
Betclic (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%EV -7.80%E -5.24%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%EV -6.98%E -2.86%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 01:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 61.19%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.81%0.3%2026-06-16 02:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-06-16 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-06-16 02:10
BetOpenly1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-06-16 02:09
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-06-16 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-06-16 02:10
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-06-16 02:10
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-06-16 02:10
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%2.4%2026-06-16 02:10