La escuela de los momios

Los Angeles Dodgers v Tampa Bay Rays

Inicio: 2026-06-17 02:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 1–0 Tampa Bay Rays

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Predicción 56.95%1.76momio equitativo
EV -0.334%
Ventaja -0.191%
Kelly -0.445%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.52%57.24%56.85%60.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.541.661.671.7564.94%60.30%59.88%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante)

Predicción 43.05%2.32momio equitativo
EV +1.59%
Ventaja +0.675%
Kelly +1.17%
Crecimiento +0.019%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.80%42.76%43.15%45.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.212.202.3648.78%45.16%45.45%42.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -11.15%E -7.15%K -19.92%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV +1.59%E +0.675%K +1.17%G +0.019%6.5%2026-06-17 02:10
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.88%E -5.55%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.16%E +0.495%K +0.861%G +0.010%5.1%2026-06-17 02:10
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.990%E -0.430%K -0.761%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 02:10
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.990%E -0.430%K -0.761%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 02:10
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.88%E -5.55%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.990%E -0.430%K -0.761%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 02:10
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.04%E -1.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.85%E -0.812%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-17 01:50
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.61%E -1.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -1.85%E -0.812%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-17 02:10
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.61%E -1.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -1.85%E -0.812%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-17 02:10
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -8.31%E -5.16%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -1.85%E -0.812%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 02:10
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -8.31%E -5.16%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -1.85%E -0.812%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 02:10
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.47%E -0.851%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-17 02:00
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.04%E -1.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -3.14%E -1.40%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-17 02:09
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.75%E -2.22%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.14%E -1.40%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-16 20:30
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.03%E -3.65%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.14%E -1.40%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 02:00
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.03%E -3.65%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.14%E -1.40%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 01:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.14%E -1.40%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 02:10
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.88%E -5.55%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.14%E -1.40%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 02:10
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.88%E -5.55%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.14%E -1.40%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 02:10
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.88%E -5.55%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.14%E -1.40%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 02:10
Betsson1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -9.45%E -5.94%K -16.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -3.14%E -1.40%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-17 02:10
NordicBet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -9.45%E -5.94%K -16.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -3.14%E -1.40%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-17 02:10
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -11.72%E -7.56%K -21.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -3.14%E -1.40%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-17 02:10
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -10.59%E -6.74%K -18.57%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -4.00%E -1.80%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-17 02:10
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.75%E -2.22%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.43%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 02:00
BetAnything1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -0.334%E -0.191%K -0.445%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -5.29%E -2.41%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-17 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.18%E -1.87%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.29%E -2.41%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 01:20
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.18%E -1.87%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.29%E -2.41%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 01:20
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.18%E -1.87%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.29%E -2.41%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 01:30
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.75%E -2.22%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.29%E -2.41%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 01:30
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.32%E -2.57%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.29%E -2.41%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 01:50
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.32%E -2.57%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.29%E -2.41%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 01:30
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.89%E -2.93%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.29%E -2.41%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 01:40
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.89%E -2.93%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.29%E -2.41%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 18:30
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.89%E -2.93%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.29%E -2.41%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 01:40
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.89%E -2.93%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.29%E -2.41%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 01:40
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.89%E -2.93%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.29%E -2.41%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 02:10
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.89%E -2.93%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.29%E -2.41%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 02:09
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.89%E -2.93%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.29%E -2.41%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 03:10
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.03%E -3.65%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.29%E -2.41%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -11.15%E -7.15%K -19.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -5.29%E -2.41%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-17 02:10
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -12.29%E -7.98%K -22.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -5.29%E -2.41%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-17 02:10
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -2.61%E -1.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 01:40
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.32%E -2.57%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 01:59
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.75%E -2.22%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.16%E -2.82%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 01:30
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.75%E -2.22%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.16%E -2.82%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 01:50
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.32%E -2.57%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.16%E -2.82%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 02:10
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.32%E -2.57%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.16%E -2.82%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 02:10
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.32%E -2.57%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.16%E -2.82%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 02:10
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.32%E -2.57%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.16%E -2.82%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 02:10
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.32%E -2.57%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.16%E -2.82%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 02:10
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.32%E -2.57%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -7.02%E -3.25%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 02:10
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.18%E -1.87%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.45%E -3.46%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 02:09
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.18%E -1.87%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.45%E -3.46%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 01:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.18%E -1.87%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.45%E -3.46%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 01:50
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.89%E -2.93%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.45%E -3.46%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 02:00
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.89%E -2.93%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.45%E -3.46%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 02:10
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.46%E -3.29%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -7.88%E -3.68%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 02:10
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.03%E -3.65%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -8.74%E -4.12%K -7.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 02:10
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -6.60%E -4.02%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -8.74%E -4.12%K -7.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-17 02:06
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -2.61%E -1.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -11.75%E -5.73%K -11.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-17 02:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14%-0.1%2026-06-17 01:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-06-17 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-06-17 02:10
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-06-17 02:10
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-17 02:10
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-17 01:30
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-06-17 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-06-17 02:10
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-06-17 02:10
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 57.84%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.16%10.8%2026-06-17 02:10