Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers v St. Louis Cardinals

2026-09-02 02:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Predicción 60.78%1.65momio equitativo
EV -1.54%
Ventaja -0.950%
Kelly -2.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.49%60.80%60.78%62.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.491.561.561.6267.11%63.97%64.10%61.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Predicción 39.22%2.55momio equitativo
EV +1.98%
Ventaja +0.761%
Kelly +1.24%
Crecimiento +0.024%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.81%39.20%39.22%40.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.442.452.6044.44%40.92%40.82%38.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 60.78%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante): 39.22%. Para St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.55. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.60, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.98%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%EV -3.36%E -2.12%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%EV +1.98%E +0.761%K +1.24%G +0.024%1.4%2026-08-31 19:05
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -3.97%E -2.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -0.376%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-31 21:55
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.76%E -1.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -0.768%E -0.304%K -0.502%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-01 00:15
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -1.54%E -0.950%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -1.94%E -0.778%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-31 22:40
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.94%E -0.778%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 02:10
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.19%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.94%E -0.778%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.19%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.94%E -0.778%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 03:15
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.19%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.94%E -0.778%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 03:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.19%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.94%E -0.778%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 03:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.19%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.94%E -0.778%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 03:15
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.40%E -4.16%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.94%E -0.778%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 00:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.62%E -5.01%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.94%E -0.778%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 03:54
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -2.34%E -0.939%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 19:50
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.73%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 03:15
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.73%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 03:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.73%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 03:15
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.73%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 03:15
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.73%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 03:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.73%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 03:15
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.40%E -4.16%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.73%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 00:20
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -3.51%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 18:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.54%E -0.950%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-31 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.54%E -0.950%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-31 22:40
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.54%E -0.950%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-31 22:40
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.36%E -2.12%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 00:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.97%E -2.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 01:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 22:40
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 22:40
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 03:00
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 23:15
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 02:15
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.19%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 22:45
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.19%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 00:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 22:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 00:05
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 22:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 22:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 00:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 00:20
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.54%E -0.950%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -5.08%E -2.10%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-31 23:59
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.19%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.08%E -2.10%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 02:09
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.19%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.08%E -2.10%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 02:10
DraftKings🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -3.97%E -2.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -5.47%E -2.27%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 01:30
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.76%E -1.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.87%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 00:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.36%E -2.12%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.87%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 22:40
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.97%E -2.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.87%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 00:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.87%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 01:30
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.87%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 21:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.19%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.87%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 00:15
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.87%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 00:15
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.87%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 01:50
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -9.44%E -6.34%K -19.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -5.87%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 03:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.19%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -6.26%E -2.62%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 01:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.76%E -1.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.83%E -3.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 03:00
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.76%E -1.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.83%E -3.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 03:00
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.83%E -3.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 04:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.83%E -3.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 03:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -7.62%E -5.01%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -9.79%E -4.26%K -7.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 02:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.75%E -5.22%K -9.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-01 00:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-09-01 03:10
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-01 03:05
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-09-01 02:20
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.11%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.89%1.6%2026-09-01 04:05
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%6.5%2026-09-01 04:05
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 60.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%10.1%2026-09-01 02:20