Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners

2026-07-30 02:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Predicción 57.71%1.73momio equitativo
EV -0.732%
Ventaja -0.426%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.70%57.75%57.69%58.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.581.651.651.7263.29%60.54%60.61%58.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Predicción 42.29%2.36momio equitativo
EV -1.47%
Ventaja -0.632%
Kelly -1.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.03%42.25%42.31%43.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.262.252.3347.62%44.32%44.35%42.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -0.732%E -0.426%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -3.59%E -1.57%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-28 23:49
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.89%E -1.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.16%E -1.38%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-29 02:04
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.46%E -1.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.47%E -0.632%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-28 23:24
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.46%E -1.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.32%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-28 22:09
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.46%E -1.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.32%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-28 22:09
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.46%E -1.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-28 20:24
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.04%E -1.81%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.43%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-28 19:40
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.04%E -1.81%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 19:49
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.04%E -1.81%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.04%E -1.81%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 22:29
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-28 19:40
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -4.43%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 21:39
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 22:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 22:29
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 22:29
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 22:45
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -6.55%E -2.96%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 23:39
MyBookie.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.19%E -2.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.59%E -1.57%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 23:44
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.19%E -2.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -5.28%E -2.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 23:44
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 22:14
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 01:09
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 01:09
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 01:09
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 01:09
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 23:44
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 19:39
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 22:15
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 22:15
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 22:14
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 19:40
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 19:39
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.35%E -3.26%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.16%E -1.38%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.35%E -3.26%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.59%E -1.57%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 01:09
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.35%E -3.26%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.59%E -1.57%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 01:10
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.35%E -3.26%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.59%E -1.57%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 01:09
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.35%E -3.26%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.59%E -1.57%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 01:09
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.35%E -3.26%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.59%E -1.57%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 01:09
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.35%E -3.26%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.59%E -1.57%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 01:09
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.35%E -3.26%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 22:15
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.35%E -3.26%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 22:24
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.35%E -3.26%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -5.70%E -2.56%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:44
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.93%E -3.64%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.59%E -1.57%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 01:09
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.93%E -3.64%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.59%E -1.57%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 01:09
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.93%E -3.64%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.59%E -1.57%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 01:10
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.08%E -4.40%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-28 22:23
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.08%E -4.40%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-28 22:49
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.66%E -4.79%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 21:34
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.66%E -4.79%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-29 01:10
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -8.23%E -5.18%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -9.08%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-28 23:45
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -8.81%E -5.58%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-28 23:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-28 19:39
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-28 20:55
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%1.7%2026-07-29 02:05
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%6.0%2026-07-29 02:10
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%8.8%2026-07-29 02:10