Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers v San Francisco Giants

2026-09-20 20:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Predicción 70.09%1.43momio equitativo
EV -1.88%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -4.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.18%70.00%70.11%72.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.301.361.361.4076.92%73.38%73.53%71.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Francisco Giants (Visitante)

Predicción 29.91%3.34momio equitativo
EV +1.71%
Ventaja +0.503%
Kelly +0.712%
Crecimiento +0.012%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.66%30.00%29.89%31.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.163.153.4034.48%31.69%31.75%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 70.09%; San Francisco Giants (Visitante): 29.91%. Para San Francisco Giants (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.34. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.40, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.71%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Dabble (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +1.71%E +0.503%K +0.712%G +0.012%6.3%2026-09-20 13:39
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%EV -2.58%E -1.86%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%EV +0.213%E +0.064%K +0.091%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-20 13:04
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.98%E -2.91%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -1.28%E -0.389%K -0.558%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 12:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.28%E -0.389%K -0.558%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-20 10:29
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.28%E -0.389%K -0.558%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-20 12:39
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.32%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.68%EV -2.18%E -0.667%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-20 13:34
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -6.09%E -4.54%K -17.90%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -2.18%E -0.667%K -0.960%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 12:09
DraftKings🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.72%EV -5.38%E -3.99%K -15.38%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.28%EV -2.48%E -0.761%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 13:34
Betway🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -2.58%E -1.86%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -2.78%E -0.855%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-20 13:04
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.78%E -0.855%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 12:09
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.78%E -0.855%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 10:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.78%E -0.855%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 13:34
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.78%E -0.855%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 13:34
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.78%E -0.855%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 13:33
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.78%E -0.855%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 13:29
Fliff🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.38%E -3.99%K -15.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.78%E -0.855%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-20 13:24
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -4.27%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-20 13:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -4.27%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-20 13:08
Bovada🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.98%E -2.91%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.27%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 13:29
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.27%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-20 13:19
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.27%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-20 13:14
Bet Right🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.27%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-20 10:20
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.27%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-20 13:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.27%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-20 11:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.38%E -3.99%K -15.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.27%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 13:04
Coolbet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.87%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 10:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.98%E -2.91%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 13:05
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 13:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 10:19
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.79%E -5.10%K -20.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 10:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.79%E -5.10%K -20.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 10:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.79%E -5.10%K -20.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 10:09
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 13:34
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 13:34
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.27%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 13:04
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.27%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 13:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.27%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 13:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.27%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 13:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.27%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 13:04
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.27%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 13:04
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.27%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 13:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.27%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 13:05
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.27%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 13:03
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.27%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 13:04
ReBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.98%E -2.91%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.27%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 13:09
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.27%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 10:09
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.27%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 13:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.27%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 13:04
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.27%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 13:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.38%E -3.99%K -15.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.27%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 13:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 13:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 13:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 13:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 13:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.88%E -1.34%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-20 12:48
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.88%E -1.34%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-20 12:49
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 13:07
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 13:08
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.79%E -5.10%K -20.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 13:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -6.79%E -5.10%K -20.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -13.25%E -4.57%K -6.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 13:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-09-20 13:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-09-20 13:34
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-09-20 13:34
Novig1.40I 71.43%NM 70.77%3.39I 29.50%NM 29.23%0.9%2026-09-20 13:29
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-09-20 13:24
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-09-20 13:29
BetOpenly1.39I 71.94%NM 71.22%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.78%1.0%2026-09-20 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-09-20 13:34
ProphetX1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-09-20 13:24
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 68.53%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.47%8.1%2026-09-20 13:34