La escuela de los momios

Los Angeles Dodgers v Philadelphia Phillies

Inicio: 2026-05-31 20:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 9–1 Philadelphia Phillies

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Predicción 67.44%1.48momio equitativo
EV -0.870%
Ventaja -0.592%
Kelly -1.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.22%67.29%67.28%68.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.351.421.411.4774.07%70.65%70.92%68.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Predicción 32.56%3.07momio equitativo
EV -0.352%
Ventaja -0.115%
Kelly -0.171%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.03%32.71%32.72%34.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.942.953.0637.04%34.01%33.90%32.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 66.97%EV -0.870%E -0.592%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03%EV -2.96%E -0.992%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-31 19:59
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -0.870%E -0.592%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -8.82%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-31 20:10
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12%EV -1.54%E -1.06%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%EV -2.96%E -0.992%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-31 20:00
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-31 17:49
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.45%E -3.80%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 20:10
1xBet1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -2.89%E -2.01%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV -0.678%E -0.222%K -0.331%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-31 19:40
BetAnything1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.89%E -2.01%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-31 19:40
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -2.89%E -2.01%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -9.47%E -3.41%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 20:10
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.89%E -2.01%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.45%E -3.80%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 20:10
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -2.89%E -2.01%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -12.08%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-31 20:09
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 68.15%EV -3.57%E -2.49%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.85%EV -0.352%E -0.115%K -0.171%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-31 19:30
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 68.15%EV -3.57%E -2.49%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.85%EV -0.352%E -0.115%K -0.171%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-31 19:30
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.57%E -2.49%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -2.31%E -0.769%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-31 18:00
GTbets1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.57%E -2.49%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -2.31%E -0.769%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-31 19:30
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57%EV -3.57%E -2.49%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43%EV -2.96%E -0.992%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-31 19:50
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -3.57%E -2.49%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -4.26%E -1.45%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-31 15:30
Fanatics1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.57%E -2.49%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 20:10
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -3.57%E -2.49%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -7.52%E -2.65%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 17:50
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.24%E -2.99%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.31%E -0.769%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-31 19:39
MyBookie.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.65%EV -4.24%E -2.99%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.35%EV -3.28%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 20:08
ReBet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.24%E -2.99%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 20:00
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.24%E -2.99%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 19:59
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.24%E -2.99%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 17:20
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.24%E -2.99%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.19%E -2.52%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 20:09
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.31%E -0.769%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 19:10
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.31%E -0.769%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 19:10
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 18:10
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 19:10
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 19:10
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 19:10
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 19:10
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 19:09
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 19:10
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 19:10
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.59%E -1.57%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 15:29
Coolbet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.59%E -1.57%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 17:19
Caesars1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.59%E -3.99%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.678%E -0.222%K -0.331%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 19:29
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.59%E -3.99%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.31%E -0.769%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 19:28
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.59%E -3.99%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.31%E -0.769%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 20:10
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.59%E -3.99%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.31%E -0.769%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.59%E -3.99%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.31%E -0.769%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 20:10
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.59%E -3.99%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.31%E -0.769%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.59%E -3.99%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.31%E -0.769%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 20:10
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.59%E -3.99%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 18:10
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.59%E -3.99%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 20:09
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.59%E -3.99%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 18:10
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.59%E -3.99%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 18:10
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.59%E -3.99%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 19:10
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.59%E -3.99%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 19:10
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.59%E -3.99%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 19:10
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.59%E -3.99%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 19:10
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.59%E -3.99%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 19:40
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.59%E -3.99%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 19:59
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.59%E -3.99%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 17:29
Dabble (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.59%E -3.99%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 20:09
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.59%E -3.99%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.54%E -2.28%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 20:10
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.59%E -3.99%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.82%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 17:50
Fliff1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -6.26%E -4.51%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -0.678%E -0.222%K -0.331%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 19:50
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.96%E -6.64%K -25.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -2.31%E -0.769%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-31 20:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.47I 68.03%NM 68.66%3.22I 31.06%NM 31.34%-0.9%2026-05-31 20:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-05-31 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-05-31 20:10
Polymarket1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-05-31 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-05-31 20:10
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37%2.0%2026-05-31 20:10
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 67.86%3.04I 32.89%NM 32.14%2.3%2026-05-31 20:10
ProphetX1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%2.8%2026-05-31 20:10
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%3.3%2026-05-31 20:10