Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Milwaukee Brewers

Inicio: 2026-08-16 20:10 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 2–6 Milwaukee Brewers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Predicción 63.40%1.58momio equitativo
EV -1.09%
Ventaja -0.700%
Kelly -1.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.25%63.32%63.41%64.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.441.521.521.5669.44%65.93%65.79%64.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Predicción 36.60%2.73momio equitativo
EV +0.644%
Ventaja +0.234%
Kelly +0.368%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.47%36.68%36.59%38.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.432.582.572.7541.15%38.74%38.91%36.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 63.40%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante): 36.60%. Para Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.73. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.644%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.40%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.60%EV +0.644%E +0.234%K +0.368%G +0.002%2.2%2026-08-16 19:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -0.454%E -0.167%K -0.264%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-16 19:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -0.454%E -0.167%K -0.264%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-16 20:05
Caesars🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -0.454%E -0.167%K -0.264%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-16 19:59
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.07%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.93%EV -0.820%E -0.303%K -0.479%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-16 20:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%EV -1.09%E -0.700%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%EV -1.19%E -0.439%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.1%2026-08-16 19:09
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -1.19%E -0.439%K -0.698%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-16 20:00
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -1.19%E -0.439%K -0.698%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-16 19:29
theScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -1.19%E -0.439%K -0.698%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-16 20:04
DraftKings🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.44%EV -1.73%E -1.11%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.56%EV -1.55%E -0.577%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-16 17:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.02%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 20:00
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.02%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 20:04
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -3.38%E -1.28%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 19:59
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -3.75%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 16:44
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -4.11%E -1.57%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 19:29
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.11%E -1.57%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 19:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -5.53%E -3.71%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -4.11%E -1.57%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:30
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.70%E -6.04%K -19.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.11%E -1.57%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 19:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -4.48%E -1.72%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 19:58
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 17:39
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 17:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 18:14
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 19:29
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 20:00
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 19:34
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 17:39
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 20:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.16%E -4.17%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 20:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.80%E -4.63%K -14.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 17:44
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.94%E -2.31%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 19:29
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.94%E -2.31%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 19:09
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.09%E -0.700%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 19:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.09%E -0.700%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 19:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 19:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 19:24
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 19:50
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 19:20
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 19:20
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 19:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 19:19
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 19:19
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 19:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 19:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 19:59
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 13:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 13:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 13:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.51%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 16:39
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.51%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 16:40
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.51%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 19:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.51%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 17:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -9.24%E -3.72%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 19:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -9.24%E -3.72%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 19:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -6.16%E -4.17%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -9.24%E -3.72%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 20:00
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.73%E -1.11%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.34%E -4.22%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.73%E -1.11%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.34%E -4.22%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 16:39
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.34%E -4.22%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 20:04
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.34%E -4.22%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 20:04
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -6.16%E -4.17%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -11.07%E -4.55%K -7.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 19:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-08-16 20:05
Matchbook◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-08-16 20:05
ProphetX◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-08-16 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-08-16 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-08-16 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-08-16 19:45
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-16 19:15
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-16 19:50
BetOpenly◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.29%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.71%1.3%2026-08-16 19:59
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15%1.7%2026-08-16 20:05