Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Milwaukee Brewers

Inicio: 2026-08-15 02:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 3–1 Milwaukee Brewers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Predicción 62.04%1.61momio equitativo
EV -0.732%
Ventaja -0.458%
Kelly -1.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.30%62.07%62.03%64.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.451.541.541.6068.97%65.02%64.94%62.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Predicción 37.96%2.63momio equitativo
EV +0.587%
Ventaja +0.222%
Kelly +0.356%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.52%37.93%37.97%39.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.382.532.502.6542.02%39.60%40.00%37.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 62.04%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante): 37.96%. Para Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.63. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.65, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.587%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Dabble (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -9.42%E -6.45%K -20.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV +0.587%E +0.222%K +0.356%G +0.002%6.2%2026-08-14 22:55
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.21%E -2.06%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.551%E -0.210%K -0.340%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-15 02:04
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.21%E -2.06%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.551%E -0.210%K -0.340%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-15 01:09
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -0.551%E -0.210%K -0.340%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-14 22:44
DraftKings🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 62.29%EV -1.97%E -1.25%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.71%EV -0.931%E -0.357%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-14 23:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%EV -1.35%E -0.851%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%EV -1.31%E -0.504%K -0.819%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-14 22:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.21%E -2.06%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.31%E -0.504%K -0.819%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-15 02:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.21%E -2.06%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.31%E -0.504%K -0.819%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-15 02:04
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.31%E -0.504%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 01:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.31%E -0.504%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 01:20
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.32%E -4.18%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.31%E -0.504%K -0.819%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 01:20
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.32%E -4.18%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.31%E -0.504%K -0.819%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 01:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.32%E -4.18%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.31%E -0.504%K -0.819%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 01:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.32%E -4.18%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.31%E -0.504%K -0.819%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 01:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.32%E -4.18%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.31%E -0.504%K -0.819%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 01:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.32%E -4.18%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.31%E -0.504%K -0.819%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 01:19
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.32%E -4.18%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.31%E -0.504%K -0.819%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 01:19
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.32%E -4.18%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.31%E -0.504%K -0.819%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 01:19
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.21%E -2.06%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -2.07%E -0.802%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 02:04
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%EV -0.732%E -0.458%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%EV -2.83%E -1.10%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-15 02:04
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.35%E -0.851%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -2.83%E -1.10%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-14 21:20
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.94%E -4.62%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.21%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 01:59
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.94%E -4.62%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.21%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 02:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.94%E -4.62%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.21%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 15:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.56%E -5.07%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.21%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 01:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.56%E -5.07%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.21%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 01:19
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV -0.732%E -0.458%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV -3.59%E -1.41%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-15 02:09
BetUS🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -1.97%E -1.25%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -4.35%E -1.73%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 01:55
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -1.97%E -1.25%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 02:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.21%E -2.06%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 00:13
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.21%E -2.06%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 22:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.21%E -2.06%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 01:09
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.21%E -2.06%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 01:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.83%E -2.47%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 02:04
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.83%E -2.47%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 02:04
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.83%E -2.47%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 01:49
Coolbet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 22:24
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 22:25
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 02:04
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.08%E -3.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 01:59
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.08%E -3.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 22:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.08%E -3.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 15:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.08%E -3.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 22:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.08%E -3.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 22:25
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.08%E -3.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 22:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.70%E -3.75%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 02:10
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.94%E -4.62%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 02:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.94%E -4.62%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 02:10
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.94%E -4.62%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 02:04
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -10.04%E -6.92%K -22.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 01:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -2.59%E -1.65%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.87%E -2.37%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 01:54
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.87%E -2.37%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 02:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.87%E -2.37%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 21:15
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -3.21%E -2.06%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -6.24%E -2.53%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 02:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.59%E -1.65%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.00%E -2.86%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 02:04
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.83%E -2.47%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.00%E -2.86%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 18:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.08%E -3.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.00%E -2.86%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 01:59
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.21%E -2.06%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -8.14%E -3.36%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 02:04
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.21%E -2.06%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -8.14%E -3.36%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 02:04
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.97%E -1.25%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.90%E -3.71%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.97%E -1.25%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.90%E -3.71%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 23:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.28%EV -6.32%E -4.18%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.72%EV -9.28%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 01:53
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.08%E -3.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.66%E -4.06%K -7.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 02:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%0.2%2026-08-15 02:09
Novig◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32%0.3%2026-08-15 02:10
ProphetX◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-08-15 02:04
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-14 22:09
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-14 18:35
Matchbook◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-08-15 02:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-08-15 02:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-08-15 02:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-08-15 02:10
Smarkets◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%2.1%2026-08-15 02:10