L’École des cotes

Los Angeles Dodgers v Cleveland Guardians

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-02 00:27 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prévision 71.41%1.40cote équitable
EV -2.17%
Avantage -1.59%
Kelly -5.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.66%71.39%71.28%72.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.341.341.3776.92%74.79%74.63%72.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.59%3.50cote équitable
EV +0.078%
Avantage +0.022%
Kelly +0.031%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.50%28.61%28.72%30.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.343.303.5032.26%29.98%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%EV +0.078%E +0.022%K +0.031%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-01 23:55
BetOnline.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%EV +0.078%E +0.022%K +0.031%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-01 23:54
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.078%E +0.022%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 22:34
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 72.50%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.50%EV -0.494%E -0.142%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-02 00:19
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 71.84%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 28.16%EV -0.780%E -0.225%K -0.316%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-02 00:05
1xBet1.37I 72.99%NM 71.64%EV -2.17%E -1.59%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.36%EV -1.07%E -0.308%K -0.433%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-02 00:05
ReBet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 00:15
Fliff1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 23:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 22:35
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 22:35
GTbets1.35I 74.07%NM 71.70%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.30%EV -2.21%E -0.646%K -0.913%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-01 23:55
MyBookie.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -2.50%E -0.732%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-01 23:59
BetUS1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -2.78%E -0.818%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-01 23:55
theScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.78%E -0.818%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-01 23:55
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.78%E -0.818%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 23:50
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.78%E -0.818%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 23:14
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.78%E -0.818%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 00:19
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.78%E -0.818%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.78%E -0.818%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 22:35
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.78%E -0.818%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 00:19
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.78%E -0.818%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 00:19
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 00:20
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 22:35
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 23:00
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 00:10
Unibet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 00:19
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -4.50%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 22:35
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-02 00:20
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-02 00:20
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 00:20
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 00:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 00:20
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 00:19
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 00:20
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 00:19
Bally Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 00:20
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 22:35
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 22:59
Betr (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 23:00
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-02 00:19
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 22:59
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 23:35
Dabble (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 00:10
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -6.78%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 22:35
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -6.78%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 22:34
TABtouch1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 00:19
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 00:19
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 00:19
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 00:19
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 22:35
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 22:35
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 22:34
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 00:19
Winamax (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 00:19
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 00:13
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 17:48
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-01 21:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.38I 72.46%NM 72.18%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.82%0.4%2026-04-02 00:05
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-04-02 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-02 00:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-02 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-02 00:14
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-04-01 23:30
Polymarket1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-04-02 00:05
BetOpenly1.36I 73.53%NM 72.07%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.93%2.0%2026-04-02 00:19
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%2.6%2026-04-01 23:55
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%2.9%2026-04-02 00:20