L’École des cotes

Los Angeles Dodgers v Atlanta Braves

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 02:11 UTC

Score final : Los Angeles Dodgers 3–1 Atlanta Braves

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prévision 50.53%1.98cote équitable
EV +0.546%
Avantage +0.274%
Kelly +0.551%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 1.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.10%50.71%50.39%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.871.851.9955.56%53.51%53.91%50.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atlanta Braves (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.47%2.02cote équitable
EV +1.92%
Avantage +0.931%
Kelly +1.81%
Croissance +0.035%

avec la cote maximale 2.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.37%49.29%49.61%50.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.871.961.952.0653.48%51.11%51.28%48.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV +1.92%E +0.931%K +1.81%G +0.035%2.0%2026-05-09 00:49
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV +0.928%E +0.455%K +0.892%G +0.008%3.1%2026-05-08 22:04
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -0.062%E -0.030%K -0.060%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 15:35
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -0.062%E -0.030%K -0.060%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 22:04
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -0.062%E -0.030%K -0.060%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 22:04
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.05%E -0.526%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 02:08
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.05%E -0.526%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 22:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.05%E -0.526%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 22:04
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.05%E -0.526%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 22:04
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.05%E -0.526%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 22:04
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.05%E -0.526%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 22:04
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.05%E -0.526%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 22:04
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.05%E -0.526%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 22:04
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.05%E -0.526%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 22:04
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -8.04%E -4.42%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.05%E -0.526%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 23:49
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -8.04%E -4.42%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.05%E -0.526%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 23:49
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -8.04%E -4.42%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.05%E -0.526%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 23:49
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -8.04%E -4.42%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.05%E -0.526%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 23:49
SportsBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -8.55%E -4.72%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -1.05%E -0.526%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 15:34
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.05%E -0.526%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 00:25
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.04%E -1.03%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 02:09
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.04%E -1.03%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 02:09
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -1.48%E -0.757%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -2.54%E -1.29%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-09 02:04
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -2.54%E -1.29%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 02:04
MyBookie.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -2.54%E -1.29%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 02:04
BetUS1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.98%E -1.02%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-09 01:29
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -6.02%E -3.24%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 02:04
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 01:24
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.48%E -0.757%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-09 02:04
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.48%E -0.757%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-09 02:09
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-09 02:09
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 23:54
Betr (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -6.02%E -3.24%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 02:00
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 02:09
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 02:09
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 23:44
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.51%E -2.34%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 02:09
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV +0.546%E +0.274%K +0.551%G +0.003%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -5.01%E -2.61%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-09 02:04
GTbets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV +0.546%E +0.274%K +0.551%G +0.003%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -5.01%E -2.61%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-09 02:04
Dabble (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.01%E -2.61%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 02:09
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 01:58
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 02:09
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 01:59
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 02:00
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 01:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 01:59
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 02:08
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 01:59
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 02:04
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 02:00
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.16%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 01:10
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.16%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 02:09
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.16%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.16%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 02:00
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.00%E -3.16%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 02:09
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.00%E -3.16%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 02:08
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.02%E -3.24%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.00%E -3.16%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 02:09
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.48%E -4.00%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 01:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 50.25%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.75%-0.5%2026-05-09 02:09
Novig1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-05-09 02:09
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-05-09 02:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-05-09 02:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-05-09 02:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-05-09 01:54
ProphetX1.95I 51.28%NM 51.01%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.99%0.5%2026-05-09 02:09
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63%2.01I 49.75%NM 49.37%0.8%2026-05-09 02:09
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-09 01:20
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%2.6%2026-05-09 02:00