Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Atlanta Braves

2026-10-03 20:00 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Predicción 64.48%1.55momio equitativo
EV -1.99%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -3.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.33%64.49%64.50%66.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.381.461.471.5272.46%68.30%68.03%65.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Predicción 35.52%2.82momio equitativo
EV +1.24%
Ventaja +0.433%
Kelly +0.668%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.41%35.51%35.50%37.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.702.702.8543.48%37.03%37.04%35.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 64.48%; Atlanta Braves (Visitante): 35.52%. Para Atlanta Braves (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.82. 10 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.85, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.24%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.80%E -5.45%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.24%E +0.433%K +0.668%G +0.008%5.0%2026-10-02 06:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.80%E -5.45%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.24%E +0.433%K +0.668%G +0.008%5.0%2026-10-02 06:25
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.80%E -5.45%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.24%E +0.433%K +0.668%G +0.008%5.0%2026-10-02 06:30
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.80%E -5.45%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.24%E +0.433%K +0.668%G +0.008%5.0%2026-10-02 06:30
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.80%E -5.45%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.24%E +0.433%K +0.668%G +0.008%5.0%2026-10-02 06:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.80%E -5.45%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.24%E +0.433%K +0.668%G +0.008%5.0%2026-10-02 06:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.80%E -5.45%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.24%E +0.433%K +0.668%G +0.008%5.0%2026-10-02 06:30
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.80%E -5.45%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.24%E +0.433%K +0.668%G +0.008%5.0%2026-10-02 06:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.80%E -5.45%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.24%E +0.433%K +0.668%G +0.008%5.0%2026-10-02 06:25
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.80%E -5.45%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.24%E +0.433%K +0.668%G +0.008%5.0%2026-10-02 06:30
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.80%E -5.45%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -0.541%E -0.193%K -0.300%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 06:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.44%E -5.94%K -20.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -0.541%E -0.193%K -0.300%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-02 06:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.44%E -5.94%K -20.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -0.541%E -0.193%K -0.300%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-02 06:25
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.57%EV -1.99%E -1.31%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.43%EV -1.61%E -0.580%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.9%2026-10-02 07:04
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -4.57%E -3.09%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -1.96%E -0.711%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-02 03:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -2.64%E -1.75%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -2.32%E -0.842%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-02 06:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -2.64%E -1.75%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -2.32%E -0.842%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-02 06:05
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.28%E -2.19%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.32%E -0.842%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-02 03:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.57%E -3.09%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.32%E -0.842%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-02 03:54
Dabble (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.15%E -4.97%K -16.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.32%E -0.842%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-02 07:19
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -11.02%E -7.98%K -29.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -2.32%E -0.842%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-02 06:25
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.00%EV -5.22%E -3.55%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.00%EV -3.03%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-02 03:38
Bet Right🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.22%E -3.55%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -3.38%E -1.24%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 03:54
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -7.15%E -4.97%K -16.25%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -3.38%E -1.24%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-02 03:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.28%E -2.19%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.09%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-02 03:35
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.28%E -2.19%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.09%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-02 05:40
Fanatics🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.93%E -2.64%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.09%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-02 06:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.57%E -3.09%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.09%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-02 03:10
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.57%E -3.09%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.09%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-02 03:10
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.57%E -3.09%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.09%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-02 03:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.57%E -3.09%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.09%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-02 05:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.22%E -3.55%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.09%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 03:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.51%E -4.49%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.09%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 06:01
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.15%E -4.97%K -16.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.09%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-02 03:04
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.35%EV -3.93%E -2.64%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.65%EV -4.45%E -1.65%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-02 05:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -5.22%E -3.55%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -4.80%E -1.79%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 06:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.28%E -2.19%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.87%E -2.21%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-02 05:55
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.22%E -3.55%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.87%E -2.21%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-02 03:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.22%E -3.55%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.87%E -2.21%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-02 03:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.22%E -3.55%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.87%E -2.21%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-02 03:55
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.28%E -2.19%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.93%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 04:55
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -1.99%E -1.31%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-02 05:44
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.28%E -2.19%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 03:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.28%E -2.19%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 03:10
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.28%E -2.19%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 03:40
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.28%E -2.19%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 05:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.93%E -2.64%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 03:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.57%E -3.09%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 05:59
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.22%E -3.55%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.42%E -3.69%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-02 05:15
ReBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -5.86%E -4.01%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -9.42%E -3.69%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-02 05:55
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.51%E -4.49%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -9.42%E -3.69%K -6.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-02 06:00
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.51%E -4.49%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -9.42%E -3.69%K -6.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-02 05:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.98%EV -7.15%E -4.97%K -16.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -12.97%E -5.30%K -8.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-02 03:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 62.33%EV -10.37%E -7.46%K -26.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.67%EV -18.30%E -7.96%K -14.08%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-02 05:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69%0.1%2026-10-02 06:55
ProphetX◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.4%2026-10-02 08:10
Novig◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-10-02 07:50
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%2.8%2026-10-02 08:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%3.2%2026-10-02 08:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%3.2%2026-10-02 08:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%3.2%2026-10-02 07:50
Smarkets◎1.47I 68.03%NM 62.60%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.40%8.7%2026-10-02 05:55
Matchbook◎1.50I 66.67%NM 40.24%1.01I 99.01%NM 59.76%65.7%2026-10-02 08:10