La escuela de los momios

Los Angeles Angels v Toronto Blue Jays

Inicio: 2026-04-21 01:39 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Angels 2–5 Toronto Blue Jays

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Predicción 48.93%2.04momio equitativo
EV +0.299%
Ventaja +0.146%
Kelly +0.285%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.34%48.94%48.95%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.851.961.952.0554.05%50.99%51.28%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)

Predicción 51.07%1.96momio equitativo
EV -0.407%
Ventaja -0.209%
Kelly -0.428%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%51.06%51.05%53.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.771.861.851.9556.50%53.80%54.05%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +0.299%E +0.146%K +0.285%G +0.001%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -9.60%E -5.42%K -12.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 01:35
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -1.17%E -0.578%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -5.51%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-21 01:35
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.15%E -1.07%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 01:04
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.15%E -1.07%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 01:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.15%E -1.07%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 00:05
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.15%E -1.07%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 01:35
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.15%E -1.07%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 00:05
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.15%E -1.07%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 00:05
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.15%E -1.07%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 00:05
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.15%E -1.07%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 00:05
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.15%E -1.07%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 00:05
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.15%E -1.07%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 00:04
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.15%E -1.07%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 00:04
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.15%E -1.07%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.07%E -4.48%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 19:05
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.64%E -1.32%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.43%E -0.740%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-21 01:05
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.64%E -1.32%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.94%E -1.01%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-21 01:10
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.64%E -1.32%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.94%E -1.01%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-21 01:15
GTbets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.64%E -1.32%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.94%E -1.01%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-21 01:10
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.13%E -1.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.00%E -2.69%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 22:50
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.13%E -1.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -7.05%E -3.87%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 01:35
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.13%E -1.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -7.05%E -3.87%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 01:35
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -3.61%E -1.83%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -0.407%E -0.209%K -0.428%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-21 00:30
BetUS1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.61%E -1.83%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.43%E -0.740%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-21 01:30
Unibet (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -3.61%E -1.83%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-20 23:39
MyBookie.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -3.61%E -1.83%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-20 22:54
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.61%E -1.83%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -7.05%E -3.87%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 01:35
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.61%E -1.83%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -7.05%E -3.87%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 01:35
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.61%E -1.83%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.07%E -4.48%K -10.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 00:04
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.10%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.00%E -2.69%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 01:05
Coolbet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.10%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.51%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 22:54
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.36%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.407%E -0.209%K -0.428%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-21 00:40
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.59%E -2.36%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.96%E -1.56%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-21 00:40
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.59%E -2.36%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 22:10
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.59%E -2.36%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 22:55
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.59%E -2.36%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 23:15
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.59%E -2.36%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 01:35
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.59%E -2.36%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 22:10
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.59%E -2.36%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 22:10
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.59%E -2.36%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 22:10
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.59%E -2.36%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 22:09
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.59%E -2.36%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.00%E -2.69%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 22:50
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.59%E -2.36%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.00%E -2.69%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 01:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.59%E -2.36%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.51%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 22:10
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.59%E -2.36%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.51%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 22:09
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.59%E -2.36%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-20 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 22:10
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 22:09
Betsson1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 01:35
NordicBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 01:35
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -6.02%E -3.27%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 01:24
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -6.02%E -3.27%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-20 22:50
Bovada1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -6.06%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -2.96%E -1.56%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 01:31
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -6.06%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -2.96%E -1.56%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 01:30
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -6.06%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -7.05%E -3.87%K -8.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 22:50
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.45%E -1.28%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 01:30
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.51%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 22:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.51%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 22:55
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.51%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 22:55
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 23:09
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.04%E -3.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.96%E -1.56%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 01:30
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.49%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.51%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 01:33
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%0.0%2026-04-21 01:35
ProphetX2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-04-21 01:30
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-04-21 01:35
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-21 01:25
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-21 01:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-04-21 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-04-21 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-04-21 01:35
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-04-21 01:35
BetOpenly2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%3.3%2026-04-21 01:25