Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Angels v Texas Rangers

Inicio: 2026-05-23 01:39 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Angels 9–6 Texas Rangers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Predicción 40.64%2.46momio equitativo
EV -0.432%
Ventaja -0.176%
Kelly -0.298%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.90%40.65%40.66%42.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.342.332.4544.44%42.79%42.92%40.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Texas Rangers (Visitante)

Predicción 59.36%1.68momio equitativo
EV -0.869%
Ventaja -0.520%
Kelly -1.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.84%59.35%59.34%61.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.551.621.621.6764.52%61.72%61.73%59.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 40.64%; Texas Rangers (Visitante): 59.36%. Para Los Angeles Angels (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.46. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.45, con un valor esperado de -0.432%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.432%E -0.176%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.40%E -4.74%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 18:20
GTbets🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -0.839%E -0.344%K -0.582%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -2.65%E -1.62%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-23 01:29
Everygame🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.25%E -0.512%K -0.871%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.24%E -1.99%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-23 01:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -1.65%E -0.682%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -2.65%E -1.62%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-23 01:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -1.65%E -0.682%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -2.65%E -1.62%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-23 01:29
BetUS🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -2.06%E -0.854%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -3.24%E -1.99%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-23 01:30
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.46%E -1.03%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.06%E -1.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-23 01:30
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.46%E -1.03%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.43%E -2.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-22 22:48
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.46%E -1.03%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.43%E -2.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-23 01:29
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.46%E -1.03%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.43%E -2.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-22 16:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.46%E -1.03%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.43%E -2.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-22 20:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.46%E -1.03%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.62%E -3.53%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 16:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.46%E -1.03%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.99%E -5.16%K -14.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 16:50
1xBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.87%E -1.20%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.46%E -0.881%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-22 22:19
BetAnything🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.87%E -1.20%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.06%E -1.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-22 22:19
MyBookie.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -2.87%E -1.20%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.43%E -2.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-22 22:38
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.28%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.84%E -2.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-22 23:39
Bovada🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.68%E -1.55%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.43%E -2.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 01:29
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.68%E -1.55%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.02%E -3.14%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 01:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.68%E -1.55%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.02%E -3.14%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 01:29
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.09%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.84%E -2.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-22 16:30
ReBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.84%E -2.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 22:20
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.43%E -2.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 22:19
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.43%E -2.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 01:30
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.43%E -2.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 22:19
888sport🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.02%E -3.14%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.02%E -3.14%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.02%E -3.14%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.02%E -3.14%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 01:29
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.02%E -3.14%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 01:30
SportsBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.31%E -2.28%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.43%E -2.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 16:20
Coolbet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.31%E -2.28%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.43%E -2.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 22:59
Betsson🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.31%E -2.28%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.43%E -2.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 01:19
NordicBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.31%E -2.28%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.43%E -2.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 01:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -5.72%E -2.46%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -0.869%E -0.520%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-22 23:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.72%E -2.46%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.43%E -2.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 22:19
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.06%E -1.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 00:39
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.06%E -1.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-22 22:29
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.24%E -1.99%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-22 22:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.84%E -2.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 22:59
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.84%E -2.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 00:59
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.84%E -2.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 23:09
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.84%E -2.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 22:19
Dabble (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.84%E -2.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 00:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.02%E -3.14%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 22:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.62%E -3.53%K -9.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 01:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.21%E -3.93%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 16:30
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.80%E -4.33%K -11.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 23:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.34%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.06%E -1.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-22 23:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.34%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.06%E -1.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-22 23:19
LeoVegas🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.34%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.65%E -1.62%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-22 23:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.34%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.65%E -1.62%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-22 23:19
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.34%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.65%E -1.62%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-22 23:19
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.34%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.65%E -1.62%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-22 23:19
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.34%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.65%E -1.62%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-22 23:19
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.34%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.65%E -1.62%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-22 23:19
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.34%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.65%E -1.62%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-22 23:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.34%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.65%E -1.62%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-22 23:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.65%E -1.62%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 23:19
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.65%E -1.62%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 23:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.65%E -1.62%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 23:19
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.65%E -1.62%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 23:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.52I 39.68%NM 39.71%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.29%-0.1%2026-05-23 01:30
Novig2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-05-23 01:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-05-23 01:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-05-23 01:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-05-23 01:30
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-05-22 16:50
ProphetX2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-05-23 01:30
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%1.9%2026-05-23 01:19
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.0%2026-05-22 17:10