Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Angels v Seattle Mariners

2026-09-17 01:39 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Predicción 44.82%2.23momio equitativo
EV -1.39%
Ventaja -0.631%
Kelly -1.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.72%44.78%44.80%45.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.972.122.122.2050.76%47.11%47.17%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Predicción 55.18%1.81momio equitativo
EV -1.23%
Ventaja -0.689%
Kelly -1.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.69%55.22%55.20%56.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.631.731.731.7961.35%57.82%57.80%55.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 44.82%; Seattle Mariners (Visitante): 55.18%. Para Seattle Mariners (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.81. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.79, con un valor esperado de -1.23%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.39%E -0.631%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.34%E -1.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-15 19:50
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.39%E -0.631%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-16 01:45
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.84%E -0.839%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-15 23:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.28%E -1.05%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.34%E -1.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-15 19:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.28%E -1.05%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.34%E -1.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-15 19:50
BetUS🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.28%E -1.05%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.34%E -1.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-16 01:45
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.28%E -1.05%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.10%E -2.96%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-16 01:50
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.23%E -0.689%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-15 20:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 19:50
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 20:10
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 21:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 23:05
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-16 01:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 20:35
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 20:35
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.10%E -2.96%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 21:50
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 23:25
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 20:35
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.86%E -4.70%K -11.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 19:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.08%E -1.91%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.44%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 19:59
DraftKings🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.53%E -2.12%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 20:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.97%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.44%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-16 01:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.97%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.44%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-16 01:30
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.97%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.44%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-16 01:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.97%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.44%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-16 01:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.97%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 01:30
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.97%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 01:30
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.97%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 01:35
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.97%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 01:35
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.97%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 01:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.97%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 01:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.97%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 19:59
Bet Right🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.97%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 19:54
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.97%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 02:25
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.97%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.10%E -2.96%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 21:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.97%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.10%E -2.96%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-16 02:35
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 19:59
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 19:55
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 19:53
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 19:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 19:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 19:55
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 20:00
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 20:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 20:34
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 01:35
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 01:38
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.10%E -2.96%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 19:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.10%E -2.96%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 19:55
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 01:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 19:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -6.77%E -3.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 01:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -6.77%E -3.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 01:35
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -8.56%E -4.20%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -7.30%E -4.35%K -10.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 01:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -10.35%E -5.18%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -9.51%E -5.80%K -14.86%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-15 19:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.28%EV -11.70%E -5.94%K -12.06%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.72%EV -10.06%E -6.17%K -15.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-16 01:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-09-16 02:20
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-09-15 22:20
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-09-15 21:55
ProphetX2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%1.0%2026-09-16 02:10
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%6.1%2026-09-16 02:40
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 45.26%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%9.4%2026-09-15 23:25