La escuela de los momios

Los Angeles Angels v San Diego Padres

Inicio: 2026-04-19 20:08 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Angels 1–2 San Diego Padres

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Predicción 42.66%2.34momio equitativo
EV -0.610%
Ventaja -0.262%
Kelly -0.459%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.77%42.84%42.62%44.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.242.242.3347.62%44.67%44.64%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

San Diego Padres (Visitante)

Predicción 57.34%1.74momio equitativo
EV -1.94%
Ventaja -1.14%
Kelly -2.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.12%57.16%57.38%58.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.671.671.7161.73%59.87%59.88%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.610%E -0.262%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.09%E -1.83%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-19 19:55
Everygame2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.610%E -0.262%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.09%E -1.83%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-19 18:00
GTbets2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.610%E -0.262%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.09%E -1.83%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-19 19:45
BetOnline.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.46%E -0.633%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.09%E -1.83%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-19 19:45
LowVig.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.46%E -0.633%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.09%E -1.83%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-19 19:40
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -1.89%E -0.822%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.09%E -1.83%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-19 19:45
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.89%E -0.822%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 19:10
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.89%E -0.822%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.38%E -3.26%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 17:50
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.32%E -1.01%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.94%E -1.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-19 19:55
Bovada2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.74%E -1.20%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.38%E -3.26%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-19 19:48
Unibet (UK)2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -3.17%E -1.40%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 18:10
FanDuel2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.60%E -1.59%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.66%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-19 20:01
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.52%E -1.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-19 20:05
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.09%E -1.83%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-19 19:30
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.66%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 19:50
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 18:00
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 18:35
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 18:35
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 19:10
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.38%E -3.26%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 20:01
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.38%E -3.26%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 20:00
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.38%E -3.26%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 20:00
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.38%E -3.26%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 20:01
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.38%E -3.26%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 18:35
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.38%E -3.26%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 18:35
Dabble (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.38%E -3.26%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 19:50
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.96%E -3.63%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 20:00
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.10%E -4.39%K -11.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 19:55
MyBookie.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.45%E -1.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.66%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 19:34
Bet Right2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.45%E -1.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.81%E -2.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 20:00
Marathon Bet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.45%E -1.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.38%E -3.26%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 20:05
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.88%E -2.19%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.66%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.88%E -2.19%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.66%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 20:05
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.88%E -2.19%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.66%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 20:05
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.88%E -2.19%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.66%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 20:05
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.88%E -2.19%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.66%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 20:05
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.88%E -2.19%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.66%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 20:05
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.88%E -2.19%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.66%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 20:05
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.88%E -2.19%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.66%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 20:05
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.88%E -2.19%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.66%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 20:05
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.88%E -2.19%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.66%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 20:05
DraftKings2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.88%E -2.19%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 19:30
SportsBet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.88%E -2.19%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.81%E -2.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 20:01
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.30%E -2.39%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.81%E -2.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 19:49
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.30%E -2.39%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.81%E -2.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 19:50
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.16%E -2.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.94%E -1.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 17:40
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.16%E -2.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 19:30
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.16%E -2.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 19:30
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.16%E -2.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 19:30
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.16%E -2.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 19:30
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.16%E -2.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:04
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.16%E -2.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 19:30
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.16%E -2.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.81%E -2.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 19:55
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.16%E -2.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.81%E -2.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 19:30
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.16%E -2.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.38%E -3.26%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 19:30
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.16%E -2.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.10%E -4.39%K -11.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 19:45
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.29%E -3.85%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.96%E -3.63%K -9.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 19:30
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -10.42%E -4.96%K -9.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -1.94%E -1.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 20:04
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.42%E -4.96%K -9.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.52%E -1.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 20:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%0.2%2026-04-19 20:05
ProphetX2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-04-19 20:05
Novig2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-04-19 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-04-19 20:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-04-19 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-04-19 20:01
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-04-19 20:05
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-04-19 20:05
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.3%2026-04-19 19:50
BetOpenly2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%6.7%2026-04-19 19:50