La escuela de los momios

Los Angeles Angels v San Diego Padres

Inicio: 2026-04-19 01:39 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Angels 1–4 San Diego Padres

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Predicción 49.29%2.03momio equitativo
EV +0.063%
Ventaja +0.031%
Kelly +0.061%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.03

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.78%49.29%49.15%50.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.871.941.932.0353.48%51.59%51.81%49.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

San Diego Padres (Visitante)

Predicción 50.71%1.97momio equitativo
EV -1.12%
Ventaja -0.574%
Kelly -1.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.47%50.71%50.85%52.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.881.881.9554.64%53.21%53.19%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV +0.063%E +0.031%K +0.061%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-19 01:29
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV +0.063%E +0.031%K +0.061%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-19 01:30
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -0.430%E -0.213%K -0.421%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-19 01:05
Everygame2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.430%E -0.213%K -0.421%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -4.16%E -2.20%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 01:34
BetUS2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -0.923%E -0.459%K -0.914%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 01:35
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.42%E -0.708%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 01:05
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.42%E -0.708%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.20%E -3.94%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 19:50
Bovada1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.40%E -1.21%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 00:56
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -2.89%E -1.47%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -1.12%E -0.574%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-18 23:20
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.39%E -1.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.16%E -2.20%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 00:55
MyBookie.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.39%E -1.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.16%E -2.20%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 22:43
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 01:25
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 23:40
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 15:55
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 01:30
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 22:30
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 15:53
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 15:55
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 15:55
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 01:05
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 01:05
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.20%E -3.94%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 00:10
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.37%E -2.25%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.37%E -2.25%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 15:55
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.37%E -2.25%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 15:55
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.87%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.16%E -2.20%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 01:25
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.87%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.16%E -2.20%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 01:25
Betr (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.87%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 00:15
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.87%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 01:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.87%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 01:20
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.87%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 01:20
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.87%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 01:20
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.87%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 01:20
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.87%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 01:25
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.87%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 01:20
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.87%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 01:20
SportsBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.87%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 01:00
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.87%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 21:45
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.36%E -2.79%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.16%E -2.20%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 19:35
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.36%E -2.79%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 01:25
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.36%E -2.79%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 01:25
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.36%E -2.79%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 01:25
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.36%E -2.79%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 01:25
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 22:30
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 21:30
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 22:30
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 22:29
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 03:44
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.16%E -2.20%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 23:15
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 00:10
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 00:10
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 00:10
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 22:30
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -6.84%E -3.62%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 01:24
Dabble (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.33%E -3.90%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:39
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.33%E -3.90%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 22:30
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.82%E -4.18%K -8.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 23:10
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.82%E -4.18%K -8.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 22:43
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%0.1%2026-04-19 01:35
ProphetX2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-04-19 01:35
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-04-19 01:35
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-18 23:40
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-18 15:55
Novig2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26%1.1%2026-04-19 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%1.3%2026-04-19 01:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%1.3%2026-04-19 01:25
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-04-19 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-04-19 01:35