Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Angels v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-08-30 20:07 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Predicción 36.93%2.71momio equitativo
EV -0.278%
Ventaja -0.103%
Kelly -0.163%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.14%37.00%37.04%38.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.562.552.7041.67%39.07%39.22%37.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Predicción 63.07%1.59momio equitativo
EV -0.987%
Ventaja -0.628%
Kelly -1.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.25%63.00%62.96%63.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.451.521.521.5768.97%65.85%65.79%63.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 36.93%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante): 63.07%. Para Los Angeles Angels (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.71. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.70, con un valor esperado de -0.278%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Caesars🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.278%E -0.103%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.51%E -2.29%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-29 18:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%EV -1.02%E -0.379%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%EV -2.88%E -1.87%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-29 21:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%EV -1.02%E -0.379%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%EV -2.88%E -1.87%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-29 21:20
Pinnacle🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV -1.76%E -0.660%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -2.88%E -1.87%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-30 01:20
GTbets🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV -1.76%E -0.660%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -2.88%E -1.87%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-29 21:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 37.20%EV -2.12%E -0.802%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.80%EV -0.987%E -0.628%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-29 21:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.12%E -0.802%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 18:55
1xBet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -2.49%E -0.945%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -1.62%E -1.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-29 23:00
DraftKings🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -2.86%E -1.09%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.77%E -3.16%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 20:15
MyBookie.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -3.60%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -4.14%E -2.72%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 00:14
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.97%E -1.53%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.51%E -2.29%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-29 19:05
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.97%E -1.53%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.51%E -2.29%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-29 20:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.97%E -1.53%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.51%E -2.29%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 01:35
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.97%E -1.53%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.51%E -2.29%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 01:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.97%E -1.53%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.51%E -2.29%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 01:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.97%E -1.53%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.51%E -2.29%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 01:35
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.97%E -1.53%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.77%E -3.16%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 19:20
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.97%E -1.53%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.77%E -3.16%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 02:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.97%E -1.53%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 18:55
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.97%E -1.53%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 23:15
BetAnything🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -5.45%E -2.13%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -2.88%E -1.87%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 01:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -5.45%E -2.13%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -4.77%E -3.16%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 22:35
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.82%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.51%E -2.29%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 21:15
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.82%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.14%E -2.72%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.82%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.77%E -3.16%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 01:35
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.82%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.77%E -3.16%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 01:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.82%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.77%E -3.16%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 01:35
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.82%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.77%E -3.16%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 01:35
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.82%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.77%E -3.16%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 01:35
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.82%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.77%E -3.16%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 01:35
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.82%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.77%E -3.16%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 01:35
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.82%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 18:58
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.82%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 19:09
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.82%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 18:55
888sport🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.82%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 18:55
ReBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.82%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 20:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.82%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.82%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.82%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 20:00
BetMGM🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -6.19%E -2.44%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -3.51%E -2.29%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 00:04
Coolbet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -6.93%E -2.75%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -3.51%E -2.29%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 02:09
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -7.66%E -3.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -1.62%E -1.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 22:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.66%E -3.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.51%E -2.29%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 21:15
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.66%E -3.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.51%E -2.29%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 20:15
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.66%E -3.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.51%E -2.29%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.66%E -3.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.51%E -2.29%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 19:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.66%E -3.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 01:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.66%E -3.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 01:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.66%E -3.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.66%E -4.50%K -13.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 02:10
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -8.40%E -3.39%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.78%EV -7.29%E -4.96%K -15.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 01:35
SportsBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -9.14%E -3.72%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -3.51%E -2.29%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.51%E -3.88%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.25%E -1.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 19:44
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.51%E -3.88%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.25%E -1.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 19:45
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.51%E -3.88%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.51%E -2.29%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 18:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -11.36%E -4.73%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -8.55%E -5.90%K -19.01%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 20:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%0.7%2026-08-30 01:00
Polymarket2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-08-29 20:10
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-08-29 21:15
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%3.0%2026-08-30 01:20
ProphetX2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%5.5%2026-08-30 02:09
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%8.1%2026-08-30 02:00