Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Angels v Milwaukee Brewers

Inicio: 2026-08-02 01:39 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Angels 1–3 Milwaukee Brewers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Predicción 42.24%2.37momio equitativo
EV +0.102%
Ventaja +0.043%
Kelly +0.075%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.36%42.25%42.19%43.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.142.262.252.3746.73%44.29%44.44%42.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Predicción 57.76%1.73momio equitativo
EV -1.80%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -2.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.58%57.75%57.81%59.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.591.661.661.7062.89%60.32%60.24%58.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 42.24%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante): 57.76%. Para Los Angeles Angels (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.368. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.370, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.102%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV +0.102%E +0.043%K +0.075%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.54%E -2.12%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 00:10
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -0.320%E -0.136%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -2.96%E -1.76%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-01 22:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -0.320%E -0.136%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -3.54%E -2.12%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-02 00:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -0.320%E -0.136%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -3.54%E -2.12%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-02 00:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.742%E -0.316%K -0.550%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.38%E -1.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-01 20:14
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.742%E -0.316%K -0.550%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.54%E -2.12%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-01 19:54
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.742%E -0.316%K -0.550%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.69%E -2.84%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 01:20
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.742%E -0.316%K -0.550%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.69%E -2.84%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 01:25
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.742%E -0.316%K -0.550%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.42%E -3.97%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 21:33
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -0.742%E -0.316%K -0.550%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -8.16%E -5.13%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 00:40
Pinnacle🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -1.16%E -0.498%K -0.869%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -2.96%E -1.76%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-02 01:05
BetUS🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -1.16%E -0.498%K -0.869%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -3.54%E -2.12%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-02 00:09
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.59%E -0.681%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.38%E -1.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 01:20
Bovada🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -2.43%E -1.05%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -5.27%E -3.21%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 01:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.85%E -1.24%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.54%E -2.12%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-01 23:00
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.85%E -1.24%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.69%E -2.84%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 00:09
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.85%E -1.24%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.27%E -3.21%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 00:45
Dabble (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.85%E -1.24%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.42%E -3.97%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 01:19
MyBookie.ag🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.28%E -1.43%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.11%E -2.48%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 23:38
Bet Right🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.70%E -1.62%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.27%E -3.21%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 23:05
SportsBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.70%E -1.62%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.85%E -3.59%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 22:43
Coolbet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.12%E -1.82%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.27%E -3.21%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 23:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.54%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.27%E -3.21%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 01:15
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -1.80%E -1.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-02 00:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -1.80%E -1.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-02 00:29
ReBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.38%E -1.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-01 19:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.96%E -1.76%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 23:40
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.96%E -1.76%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 20:19
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.54%E -2.12%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 19:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.54%E -2.12%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 00:35
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.69%E -2.84%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.69%E -2.84%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.69%E -2.84%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:39
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.69%E -2.84%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 00:05
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.69%E -2.84%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 19:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.69%E -2.84%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 20:00
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.69%E -2.84%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 20:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.27%E -3.21%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 21:40
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.58%E -4.74%K -12.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 23:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.81%E -2.61%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.96%E -1.76%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 00:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.81%E -2.61%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.96%E -1.76%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 00:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.81%E -2.61%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.54%E -2.12%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:30
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.81%E -2.61%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.54%E -2.12%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:29
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.81%E -2.61%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.54%E -2.12%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.81%E -2.61%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.54%E -2.12%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:29
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.81%E -2.61%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.54%E -2.12%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:30
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.81%E -2.61%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.54%E -2.12%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:30
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.23%E -2.81%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.11%E -2.48%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 20:04
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.23%E -2.81%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.11%E -2.48%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 20:04
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.08%E -3.22%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.54%E -2.12%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.08%E -3.22%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.54%E -2.12%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 19:59
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.08%E -3.22%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.54%E -2.12%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 20:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.08%E -3.22%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.11%E -2.48%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 01:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.08%E -3.22%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.11%E -2.48%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 19:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.08%E -3.22%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.11%E -2.48%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 00:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.08%E -3.22%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.11%E -2.48%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 00:30
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.08%E -3.22%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.11%E -2.48%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 00:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.08%E -3.22%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.69%E -2.84%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 19:50
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.19%E -4.27%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.69%E -2.84%K -7.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 01:34
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.19%E -4.27%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.69%E -2.84%K -7.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 01:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -9.19%E -4.27%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.27%E -3.21%K -8.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 19:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -9.61%E -4.49%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -5.85%E -3.59%K -9.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 01:14
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -9.61%E -4.49%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 00:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-08-02 01:35
ProphetX◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-08-02 01:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-08-02 01:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-08-02 01:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-08-02 01:30
Novig◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-08-02 01:29
Polymarket◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-01 19:45
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-08-02 00:05
Smarkets◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.3%2026-08-02 01:35
BetOpenly◎2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%5.6%2026-08-02 01:30