Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Angels v Milwaukee Brewers

2026-08-02 19:16 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Predicción 32.75%3.05momio equitativo
EV +1.54%
Ventaja +0.496%
Kelly +0.732%
Crecimiento +0.011%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.66%32.78%32.65%34.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.892.903.1036.36%34.59%34.48%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Predicción 67.25%1.49momio equitativo
EV -1.15%
Ventaja -0.781%
Kelly -2.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.88%67.22%67.35%68.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.381.421.431.4772.46%70.35%69.93%68.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 32.75%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante): 67.25%. Para Los Angeles Angels (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.05. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.10, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.54%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%EV +1.54%E +0.496%K +0.732%G +0.011%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%EV -2.49%E -1.72%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.2%2026-08-01 22:25
Pinnacle3.04I 32.89%NM 31.99%EV -0.428%E -0.141%K -0.210%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.01%EV -3.84%E -2.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-01 22:35
BetOnline.ag3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36%EV -1.41%E -0.469%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64%EV -3.17%E -2.20%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-01 18:34
LowVig.ag3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36%EV -1.41%E -0.469%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64%EV -3.17%E -2.20%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-01 18:35
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%EV -1.74%E -0.580%K -0.869%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%EV -1.82%E -1.25%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-01 23:39
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -1.74%E -0.580%K -0.869%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.84%E -2.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-02 01:10
Fliff3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -1.74%E -0.580%K -0.869%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -6.53%E -4.70%K -16.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 02:20
FanDuel2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03%EV -2.39%E -0.803%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.97%EV -1.15%E -0.781%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-01 18:35
Caesars2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -3.05%E -1.03%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -4.51%E -3.18%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 20:54
GTbets2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -3.38%E -1.14%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -3.17%E -2.20%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-01 18:40
theScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.38%E -1.14%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.84%E -2.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-01 22:25
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.38%E -1.14%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.84%E -2.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-02 01:10
BetUS2.94I 34.01%NM 32.88%EV -3.70%E -1.26%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.12%EV -3.17%E -2.20%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-02 01:45
DraftKings2.94I 34.01%NM 32.57%EV -3.70%E -1.26%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.43%EV -4.51%E -3.18%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 01:10
MyBookie.ag2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -4.03%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -3.84%E -2.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 02:00
Coolbet2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.03%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -5.18%E -3.68%K -12.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:20
Marathon Bet2.91I 34.36%NM 32.64%EV -4.69%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.36%EV -5.18%E -3.68%K -12.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 01:39
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.01%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.84%E -2.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 21:04
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.01%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.84%E -2.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 00:44
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.01%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.84%E -2.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 00:44
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.01%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.84%E -2.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 00:45
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.01%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.84%E -2.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 00:45
BetAnything2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.01%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.84%E -2.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 01:20
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.01%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.51%E -3.18%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 01:09
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.01%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.51%E -3.18%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-01 22:24
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.01%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.51%E -3.18%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 01:10
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.01%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.51%E -3.18%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-01 22:40
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.01%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.86%E -4.18%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 22:29
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.01%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.86%E -4.18%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 01:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.01%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.86%E -4.18%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 01:10
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.01%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.86%E -4.18%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 02:44
Bet Right2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.67%E -1.97%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -3.84%E -2.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 20:55
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.67%E -1.97%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.86%E -4.18%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 18:34
SportsBet2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86%EV -6.32%E -2.21%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.14%EV -5.86%E -4.18%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 18:34
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.65%E -2.33%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.84%E -2.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:44
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.65%E -2.33%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.84%E -2.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.65%E -2.33%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.84%E -2.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:45
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.65%E -2.33%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.84%E -2.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:45
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.65%E -2.33%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.84%E -2.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:44
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.65%E -2.33%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.84%E -2.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:44
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.65%E -2.33%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.84%E -2.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:45
Bally Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.65%E -2.33%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.84%E -2.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:45
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.65%E -2.33%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.84%E -2.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:45
Betclic (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.65%E -2.33%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.18%E -3.68%K -12.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 01:14
ReBet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.65%E -2.33%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.18%E -3.68%K -12.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 01:10
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.65%E -2.33%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.18%E -3.68%K -12.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 01:09
888sport2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.65%E -2.33%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.86%E -4.18%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-01 18:40
Mr Green (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.65%E -2.33%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.86%E -4.18%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-01 18:39
888sport (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.65%E -2.33%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.86%E -4.18%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-01 18:39
NordicBet2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.98%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -3.84%E -2.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 02:10
Betsson2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.98%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -3.84%E -2.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 02:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.29%E -2.96%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.49%E -1.72%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:09
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.29%E -2.96%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.49%E -1.72%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:10
betano_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.29%E -2.96%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.86%E -4.18%K -14.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 22:23
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.29%E -2.96%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.86%E -4.18%K -14.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 22:24
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -9.93%E -3.61%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.43%EV -6.53%E -4.70%K -16.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 01:19
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -9.93%E -3.61%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.43%EV -6.53%E -4.70%K -16.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 01:10
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -9.93%E -3.61%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -7.20%E -5.22%K -18.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 00:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig3.13I 31.95%NM 31.81%1.46I 68.49%NM 68.19%0.4%2026-08-02 02:40
Polymarket3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%1.0%2026-08-01 22:55
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%1.0%2026-08-01 20:00
ProphetX3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%2.2%2026-08-02 02:45
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57%3.5%2026-08-02 00:05
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 33.66%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.34%9.2%2026-08-02 01:10